FK Kapaz enters this Azerbaijan Cup tie as overwhelming favorites due to their Premier League status and stronger recent form, sitting sixth in the top flight with four wins and two draws in their last eight matches. Baku Sporting, competing in the second-tier Birinci Liqa, has suffered multiple consecutive defeats and lacks the squad depth or results to challenge at this level. The sides last met in the cup in 2023, when Kapaz secured a 2-0 victory. Home advantage at Ganja City Stadium further reinforces the market's near-certain assessment of a Kapaz win. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include key injuries, red cards, or an unusually poor performance from the hosts.