**The dominant market driver for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" remains ABC’s March 2026 cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s season, which pushed “Other (Season Cancelled)” to a commanding 73% implied probability.** The network pulled the March 22 premiere just days before air after TMZ released a 2023 video of Paul in a physical altercation with her ex, prompting Disney Entertainment Television to halt broadcast and prioritize family support. No episodes have aired since, and later scheduling windows through summer 2026 were also abandoned, locking in the cancellation outcome for traders. Doug Mason’s 15% reflects pre-cancellation insider reporting (notably from Reality Steve) that he was the reported winner and engaged Paul before the couple split post-filming. The remaining listed suitors sit at 1% or below because the unaired season produced no official resolution or on-air winner. With the show shelved and no revival confirmed months later, market consensus continues to favor the cancelled outcome over any individual contestant.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于单身女郎第22赛季获奖者
其他(赛季取消) 75%
道格·梅森 25.9%
迈克尔·巴巴 1.0%
Casey Hux 1.0%
$2,456,273 交易量
$2,456,273 交易量
其他(赛季取消)
75%
道格·梅森
15%
迈克尔·巴巴
1%
Casey Hux
1%
约翰尼·拉罗莎
1%
马利克·埃文斯
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Shane Parton
1%
布兰登·珀斯
1%
马特·卡罗尔
1%
Josh Harward
1%
马库斯·理查森
1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
布拉德·莱德福德
<1%
克里斯托弗·伍德
<1%
康拉德·乌克罗皮纳
<1%
理查德·范德沃特
<1%
克莱顿·约翰逊
<1%
特伦顿·梅里尔
<1%
凯文·蒙特罗
<1%
亚伦·康
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
其他(赛季取消) 75%
道格·梅森 25.9%
迈克尔·巴巴 1.0%
Casey Hux 1.0%
$2,456,273 交易量
$2,456,273 交易量
其他(赛季取消)
75%
道格·梅森
15%
迈克尔·巴巴
1%
Casey Hux
1%
约翰尼·拉罗莎
1%
马利克·埃文斯
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Shane Parton
1%
布兰登·珀斯
1%
马特·卡罗尔
1%
Josh Harward
1%
马库斯·理查森
1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
布拉德·莱德福德
<1%
克里斯托弗·伍德
<1%
康拉德·乌克罗皮纳
<1%
理查德·范德沃特
<1%
克莱顿·约翰逊
<1%
特伦顿·梅里尔
<1%
凯文·蒙特罗
<1%
亚伦·康
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
市场开放时间: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The dominant market driver for "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner" remains ABC’s March 2026 cancellation of Taylor Frankie Paul’s season, which pushed “Other (Season Cancelled)” to a commanding 73% implied probability.** The network pulled the March 22 premiere just days before air after TMZ released a 2023 video of Paul in a physical altercation with her ex, prompting Disney Entertainment Television to halt broadcast and prioritize family support. No episodes have aired since, and later scheduling windows through summer 2026 were also abandoned, locking in the cancellation outcome for traders. Doug Mason’s 15% reflects pre-cancellation insider reporting (notably from Reality Steve) that he was the reported winner and engaged Paul before the couple split post-filming. The remaining listed suitors sit at 1% or below because the unaired season produced no official resolution or on-air winner. With the show shelved and no revival confirmed months later, market consensus continues to favor the cancelled outcome over any individual contestant.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题