Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane 21.6%
Kylian Mbappé 17%
Ousmane Dembélé 16.4%
Lamine Yamal 11%
$4,639,298 交易量
$4,639,298 交易量
2026-10-31
Harry Kane
22%
Kylian Mbappé
17%
Ousmane Dembélé
16%
Lamine Yamal
11%
Lionel Messi
10%
Michael Olise
6%
Vitinha
5%
Declan Rice
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Pedri
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 21.6%
Kylian Mbappé 17%
Ousmane Dembélé 16.4%
Lamine Yamal 11%
$4,639,298 交易量
$4,639,298 交易量
2026-10-31
Harry Kane
$764,969 交易量
22%
Kylian Mbappé
$179,509 交易量
17%
Ousmane Dembélé
$589,962 交易量
16%
Lamine Yamal
$104,768 交易量
11%
Lionel Messi
$38,675 交易量
10%
Michael Olise
$112,064 交易量
6%
Vitinha
$81,754 交易量
5%
Declan Rice
$84,883 交易量
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$90,283 交易量
3%
Vinícius Júnior
$486,555 交易量
2%
Erling Haaland
$297,439 交易量
2%
Achraf Hakimi
$40,428 交易量
1%
Lautaro Martinez
$55,706 交易量
1%
Pedri
$299,617 交易量
1%
Bruno Fernandes
$60,889 交易量
1%
Luis Diaz
$50,771 交易量
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$89,863 交易量
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$48,087 交易量
<1%
Desire Doue
$45,487 交易量
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$286,923 交易量
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$417,636 交易量
<1%
Cole Palmer
$195,454 交易量
<1%
Raphinha
$70,819 交易量
<1%
Federico Valverde
$47,480 交易量
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$99,278 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$4,639,298结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$4,639,298结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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