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icon for 2026年金球奖得主

2026年金球奖得主

icon for 2026年金球奖得主

2026年金球奖得主

哈里·凯恩 59.5%

拉明·亚马尔 17.1%

罗德里 9%

基利安·姆巴佩 7.7%

Polymarket

$28,237,958 交易量

哈里·凯恩 59.5%

拉明·亚马尔 17.1%

罗德里 9%

基利安·姆巴佩 7.7%

Polymarket

$28,237,958 交易量

哈里·凯恩

$3,287,615 交易量

59%

拉明·亚马尔

$1,768,772 交易量

17%

罗德里

$1,041,397 交易量

9%

基利安·姆巴佩

$1,536,633 交易量

8%

克维查·克瓦拉茨赫利亚

$1,064,373 交易量

4%

莱昂内尔·梅西

$1,882,808 交易量

2%

奥斯曼·登贝莱

$1,764,041 交易量

2%

法比安·鲁伊斯

$824,174 交易量

1%

埃尔林·哈兰德

$1,133,813 交易量

<1%

裘德·贝林厄姆

$1,009,065 交易量

<1%

迈克尔·奥利塞

$1,073,558 交易量

<1%

德克兰·赖斯

$798,093 交易量

<1%

维蒂尼亚

$677,782 交易量

<1%

保·库巴尔西

$788,501 交易量

<1%

穆罕默德·萨拉赫

$1,057,654 交易量

<1%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔

$1,066,431 交易量

<1%

佩德里

$879,645 交易量

<1%

科尔·帕尔默

$678,611 交易量

<1%

朱利安·阿尔瓦雷斯

$731,885 交易量

<1%

拉菲尼亚

$694,097 交易量

<1%

布鲁诺·费尔南德斯

$708,049 交易量

<1%

劳塔罗·马丁内斯

$486,133 交易量

<1%

克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多

$457,373 交易量

<1%

恩佐·费尔南德斯

$66,071 交易量

<1%

费德里科·巴尔韦德

$446,646 交易量

<1%

德西雷·杜埃

$732,298 交易量

<1%

阿什拉夫·哈基米

$739,023 交易量

<1%

路易斯·迪亚斯

$439,280 交易量

<1%

多米尼克·索博斯洛伊

$168,271 交易量

<1%

罗德里戈

$88,121 交易量

<1%

布卡约·萨卡

$147,747 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 59.5% implied probability due to his record-shattering 2025-26 campaign, where he netted around 73 goals across all competitions while securing Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and Supercup honors with Bayern Munich. Traders weigh this domestic dominance and consistent output heavily against international results. Lamine Yamal sits second at 17.1% on the strength of his 26-goal, 21-assist season, La Liga title, and Spain's World Cup success, underscoring his rapid emergence as a generational talent. Rodri (8.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (7.7%) follow on midfield control and attacking contributions, respectively, while older names like Messi reflect lingering World Cup impact. Recent form, team silverware, and individual tallies continue to shape the tight hierarchy.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$28,237,958
结束日期
2026-10-31
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 59.5% implied probability due to his record-shattering 2025-26 campaign, where he netted around 73 goals across all competitions while securing Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and Supercup honors with Bayern Munich. Traders weigh this domestic dominance and consistent output heavily against international results. Lamine Yamal sits second at 17.1% on the strength of his 26-goal, 21-assist season, La Liga title, and Spain's World Cup success, underscoring his rapid emergence as a generational talent. Rodri (8.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (7.7%) follow on midfield control and attacking contributions, respectively, while older names like Messi reflect lingering World Cup impact. Recent form, team silverware, and individual tallies continue to shape the tight hierarchy.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$28,237,958
结束日期
2026-10-31
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年金球奖得主"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 31 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"哈里·凯恩",概率为 59%,其次是"拉明·亚马尔",概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 59¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 59%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2026年金球奖得主"已产生 $28.2 million 的总交易量(自Sep 22, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年金球奖得主"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 31 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年金球奖得主"的当前领先者是"哈里·凯恩",概率为 59%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 59%。紧随其后的结果是"拉明·亚马尔",概率为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年金球奖得主"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。