Harry Kane leads Ballon d’Or 2026 trader consensus with an implied probability above 58 percent, driven by his record 73 goals and eight assists across 65 appearances for Bayern Munich and England in the 2025-26 campaign. The striker delivered a third straight Bundesliga Golden Boot, helped secure another league title plus the DFB-Pokal, and added six World Cup goals despite England’s semifinal exit. His efficiency, chance creation, and recent milestones—including reaching 100 Bundesliga goals in just 98 matches—have kept him ahead. Lamine Yamal sits second near 20 percent on the back of Spain’s World Cup triumph and his continued scoring form at Barcelona into the 2026-27 season. Kylian Mbappé, Lionel Messi, and Rodri trail further behind at single-digit probabilities, reflecting comparatively lower individual output or team silverware in the voting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哈里·凯恩 58.1%
拉明·亚马尔 20.5%
基利安·姆巴佩 7.6%
莱昂内尔·梅西 5.7%
$37,640,603 交易量
$37,640,603 交易量
哈里·凯恩
58%
拉明·亚马尔
21%
基利安·姆巴佩
8%
莱昂内尔·梅西
6%
罗德里
5%
克维查·克瓦拉茨赫利亚
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
1%
法比安·鲁伊斯
1%
迈克尔·奥利塞
<1%
埃尔林·哈兰德
<1%
裘德·贝林厄姆
<1%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
<1%
德克兰·赖斯
<1%
维蒂尼亚
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
<1%
布鲁诺·费尔南德斯
<1%
路易斯·迪亚斯
<1%
劳塔罗·马丁内斯
<1%
保·库巴尔西
<1%
哈里·凯恩 58.1%
拉明·亚马尔 20.5%
基利安·姆巴佩 7.6%
莱昂内尔·梅西 5.7%
$37,640,603 交易量
$37,640,603 交易量
哈里·凯恩
58%
拉明·亚马尔
21%
基利安·姆巴佩
8%
莱昂内尔·梅西
6%
罗德里
5%
克维查·克瓦拉茨赫利亚
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
1%
法比安·鲁伊斯
1%
迈克尔·奥利塞
<1%
埃尔林·哈兰德
<1%
裘德·贝林厄姆
<1%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
<1%
德克兰·赖斯
<1%
维蒂尼亚
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
<1%
布鲁诺·费尔南德斯
<1%
路易斯·迪亚斯
<1%
劳塔罗·马丁内斯
<1%
保·库巴尔西
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Harry Kane leads Ballon d’Or 2026 trader consensus with an implied probability above 58 percent, driven by his record 73 goals and eight assists across 65 appearances for Bayern Munich and England in the 2025-26 campaign. The striker delivered a third straight Bundesliga Golden Boot, helped secure another league title plus the DFB-Pokal, and added six World Cup goals despite England’s semifinal exit. His efficiency, chance creation, and recent milestones—including reaching 100 Bundesliga goals in just 98 matches—have kept him ahead. Lamine Yamal sits second near 20 percent on the back of Spain’s World Cup triumph and his continued scoring form at Barcelona into the 2026-27 season. Kylian Mbappé, Lionel Messi, and Rodri trail further behind at single-digit probabilities, reflecting comparatively lower individual output or team silverware in the voting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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