Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.3% implied probability due to his prolific goalscoring at the 2026 World Cup for England alongside strong club form with Bayern Munich, reflecting trader consensus on his career-best campaign. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.7% on the strength of his consistent excellence at Barcelona and Spain, while Rodri at 9.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 8.6% draw support from midfield control and forward output respectively. Recent post-tournament developments have solidified Kane's edge over younger contenders like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and established names such as Lionel Messi, with the award covering the full 2025–26 season through July 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于哈里·凯恩 58.3%
拉明·亚马尔 15.7%
罗德里 9%
基利安·姆巴佩 8.5%
$29,179,160 交易量
$29,179,160 交易量
2026-10-31
哈里·凯恩
58%
拉明·亚马尔
16%
罗德里
9%
基利安·姆巴佩
9%
克维查·克瓦拉茨赫利亚
4%
莱昂内尔·梅西
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
2%
法比安·鲁伊斯
1%
保·库巴尔西
1%
埃尔林·哈兰德
<1%
迈克尔·奥利塞
<1%
裘德·贝林厄姆
<1%
德克兰·赖斯
<1%
维蒂尼亚
<1%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
<1%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
<1%
佩德里
<1%
科尔·帕尔默
<1%
朱利安·阿尔瓦雷斯
<1%
拉菲尼亚
<1%
布鲁诺·费尔南德斯
<1%
劳塔罗·马丁内斯
<1%
克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多
<1%
恩佐·费尔南德斯
<1%
费德里科·巴尔韦德
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
<1%
路易斯·迪亚斯
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
<1%
罗德里戈
<1%
布卡约·萨卡
<1%
哈里·凯恩 58.3%
拉明·亚马尔 15.7%
罗德里 9%
基利安·姆巴佩 8.5%
$29,179,160 交易量
$29,179,160 交易量
2026-10-31
哈里·凯恩
$3,434,202 交易量
58%
拉明·亚马尔
$1,849,462 交易量
16%
罗德里
$1,110,688 交易量
9%
基利安·姆巴佩
$1,601,742 交易量
9%
克维查·克瓦拉茨赫利亚
$1,122,283 交易量
4%
莱昂内尔·梅西
$1,936,386 交易量
2%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
$1,872,191 交易量
2%
法比安·鲁伊斯
$884,314 交易量
1%
保·库巴尔西
$816,989 交易量
1%
埃尔林·哈兰德
$1,288,387 交易量
<1%
迈克尔·奥利塞
$1,092,986 交易量
<1%
裘德·贝林厄姆
$1,034,782 交易量
<1%
德克兰·赖斯
$816,468 交易量
<1%
维蒂尼亚
$715,513 交易量
<1%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
$1,057,708 交易量
<1%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
$1,067,431 交易量
<1%
佩德里
$884,675 交易量
<1%
科尔·帕尔默
$679,621 交易量
<1%
朱利安·阿尔瓦雷斯
$732,885 交易量
<1%
拉菲尼亚
$695,107 交易量
<1%
布鲁诺·费尔南德斯
$709,222 交易量
<1%
劳塔罗·马丁内斯
$487,143 交易量
<1%
克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多
$457,373 交易量
<1%
恩佐·费尔南德斯
$67,071 交易量
<1%
费德里科·巴尔韦德
$447,652 交易量
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
$733,383 交易量
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
$740,043 交易量
<1%
路易斯·迪亚斯
$439,309 交易量
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
$168,279 交易量
<1%
罗德里戈
$88,121 交易量
<1%
布卡约·萨卡
$147,747 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.3% implied probability due to his prolific goalscoring at the 2026 World Cup for England alongside strong club form with Bayern Munich, reflecting trader consensus on his career-best campaign. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.7% on the strength of his consistent excellence at Barcelona and Spain, while Rodri at 9.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 8.6% draw support from midfield control and forward output respectively. Recent post-tournament developments have solidified Kane's edge over younger contenders like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and established names such as Lionel Messi, with the award covering the full 2025–26 season through July 31.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$29,179,160结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.3% implied probability due to his prolific goalscoring at the 2026 World Cup for England alongside strong club form with Bayern Munich, reflecting trader consensus on his career-best campaign. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.7% on the strength of his consistent excellence at Barcelona and Spain, while Rodri at 9.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 8.6% draw support from midfield control and forward output respectively. Recent post-tournament developments have solidified Kane's edge over younger contenders like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and established names such as Lionel Messi, with the award covering the full 2025–26 season through July 31.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$29,179,160结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 58.3% implied probability due to his prolific goalscoring at the 2026 World Cup for England alongside strong club form with Bayern Munich, reflecting trader consensus on his career-best campaign. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.7% on the strength of his consistent excellence at Barcelona and Spain, while Rodri at 9.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 8.6% draw support from midfield control and forward output respectively. Recent post-tournament developments have solidified Kane's edge over younger contenders like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and established names such as Lionel Messi, with the award covering the full 2025–26 season through July 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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