Apple's decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 "Surprise and Shine" event has shaped trader views, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo launching then. Supply chain reports, including comments from lens supplier Largan Precision about a major U.S. customer's Q1 2027 postponement, plus analyst confirmations from Ming-Chi Kuo, reinforced the shift to a split-release approach favoring higher-margin Pro models amid component costs and 2nm A20 chip constraints. The standard model, along with the iPhone 18e and Air 2, now points to a March 2027 debut, altering historical September timing for the full lineup and highlighting Apple's focus on premium hardware this cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2027-02-28
2027年2月28日
24%
2027年3月31日
70%
2027 年 4 月 30 日
79%
$274 交易量
2027年2月28日
$124 交易量
24%
2027年3月31日
$88 交易量
70%
2027 年 4 月 30 日
$62 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 "Surprise and Shine" event has shaped trader views, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo launching then. Supply chain reports, including comments from lens supplier Largan Precision about a major U.S. customer's Q1 2027 postponement, plus analyst confirmations from Ming-Chi Kuo, reinforced the shift to a split-release approach favoring higher-margin Pro models amid component costs and 2nm A20 chip constraints. The standard model, along with the iPhone 18e and Air 2, now points to a March 2027 debut, altering historical September timing for the full lineup and highlighting Apple's focus on premium hardware this cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
交易量
$274结束日期
2027-05-01市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 "Surprise and Shine" event has shaped trader views, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo launching then. Supply chain reports, including comments from lens supplier Largan Precision about a major U.S. customer's Q1 2027 postponement, plus analyst confirmations from Ming-Chi Kuo, reinforced the shift to a split-release approach favoring higher-margin Pro models amid component costs and 2nm A20 chip constraints. The standard model, along with the iPhone 18e and Air 2, now points to a March 2027 debut, altering historical September timing for the full lineup and highlighting Apple's focus on premium hardware this cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$274结束日期
2027-05-01市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETApple's decision to skip the base iPhone 18 at its September 9, 2026 "Surprise and Shine" event has shaped trader views, with only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable iPhone Duo launching then. Supply chain reports, including comments from lens supplier Largan Precision about a major U.S. customer's Q1 2027 postponement, plus analyst confirmations from Ming-Chi Kuo, reinforced the shift to a split-release approach favoring higher-margin Pro models amid component costs and 2nm A20 chip constraints. The standard model, along with the iPhone 18e and Air 2, now points to a March 2027 debut, altering historical September timing for the full lineup and highlighting Apple's focus on premium hardware this cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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