Polymarket traders price a tight contest for Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation, with the 5.00-5.49% bin at 23.8% implied probability slightly ahead of 5.50-5.99% at 22.1%, reflecting aggregated sentiment implying roughly 5.3% year-end rate amid heightened uncertainty. April 2026 IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year from 4.14%, brushing the 4.5% target ceiling on sticky services inflation, food volatility, and fuel costs elevated by Middle East tensions, prompting nine straight weeks of upward revisions in BCB's Focus survey to 4.9%. Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.5% signals caution, with resilient labor markets differentiating upside risks from potential oil stabilization; watch May IPCA and next Copom for swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5.00-5.49% 27.3%
5.50-5.99% 20.0%
4.50-4.99% 19.1%
7.00%及以上 7.8%
$57,289 交易量
$57,289 交易量
2027-01-12
低于3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
9%
3.50-3.99%
3%
4.00-4.49%
7%
4.50-4.99%
19%
5.00-5.49%
24%
5.50-5.99%
21%
6.00-6.49%
5%
6.50-6.99%
5%
7.00%及以上
8%
5.00-5.49% 27.3%
5.50-5.99% 20.0%
4.50-4.99% 19.1%
7.00%及以上 7.8%
$57,289 交易量
$57,289 交易量
2027-01-12
低于3.00%
$4,305 交易量
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$4,370 交易量
9%
3.50-3.99%
$8,991 交易量
3%
4.00-4.49%
$7,722 交易量
7%
4.50-4.99%
$7,022 交易量
19%
5.00-5.49%
$6,104 交易量
24%
5.50-5.99%
$5,690 交易量
21%
6.00-6.49%
$4,670 交易量
5%
6.50-6.99%
$4,858 交易量
5%
7.00%及以上
$3,556 交易量
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders price a tight contest for Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation, with the 5.00-5.49% bin at 23.8% implied probability slightly ahead of 5.50-5.99% at 22.1%, reflecting aggregated sentiment implying roughly 5.3% year-end rate amid heightened uncertainty. April 2026 IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year from 4.14%, brushing the 4.5% target ceiling on sticky services inflation, food volatility, and fuel costs elevated by Middle East tensions, prompting nine straight weeks of upward revisions in BCB's Focus survey to 4.9%. Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.5% signals caution, with resilient labor markets differentiating upside risks from potential oil stabilization; watch May IPCA and next Copom for swings.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
市场开放时间： Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
交易量
$57,289结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders price a tight contest for Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation, with the 5.00-5.49% bin at 23.8% implied probability slightly ahead of 5.50-5.99% at 22.1%, reflecting aggregated sentiment implying roughly 5.3% year-end rate amid heightened uncertainty. April 2026 IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year from 4.14%, brushing the 4.5% target ceiling on sticky services inflation, food volatility, and fuel costs elevated by Middle East tensions, prompting nine straight weeks of upward revisions in BCB's Focus survey to 4.9%. Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.5% signals caution, with resilient labor markets differentiating upside risks from potential oil stabilization; watch May IPCA and next Copom for swings.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
交易量
$57,289结束日期
2027-01-12市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a tight contest for Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation, with the 5.00-5.49% bin at 23.8% implied probability slightly ahead of 5.50-5.99% at 22.1%, reflecting aggregated sentiment implying roughly 5.3% year-end rate amid heightened uncertainty. April 2026 IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year from 4.14%, brushing the 4.5% target ceiling on sticky services inflation, food volatility, and fuel costs elevated by Middle East tensions, prompting nine straight weeks of upward revisions in BCB's Focus survey to 4.9%. Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.5% signals caution, with resilient labor markets differentiating upside risks from potential oil stabilization; watch May IPCA and next Copom for swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题