Iliana Iotova holds an overwhelming lead in Bulgaria’s October 25 presidential election, reflected in trader consensus at 85.5 percent, due to consistent polling advantages of 41–52 percent among likely voters in late-September and early-October surveys. As the incumbent backed by the Bulgarian Socialist Party and Prime Minister Rumen Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria, she benefits from established name recognition and coalition mobilization ahead of the vote, which could trigger a November 1 runoff if no ticket exceeds 50 percent. Andrey Gyurov, supported by reformist parties including We Continue the Change and Democratic Bulgaria, trails at 13.5 percent amid second-place polling shares of 21–28 percent. The remaining field of 25 other registered candidates, including Kostadin Kostadinov, shows negligible support below 10 percent in every recent survey, underscoring the concentrated contest between the top two tickets.