Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's dominant position in California's safely Democratic 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November general election. The East Bay seat features a strong partisan lean, with Kamala Harris carrying it 65-32% in 2024, and ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report and others. DeSaulnier boasts a massive fundraising edge, holding $656,000 cash-on-hand as of late March versus under $7,000 for top challengers. The June 2 top-two primary looms, likely advancing DeSaulnier alongside another Democrat or nominal Republican. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, personal scandal, health issues, or an overwhelming Republican midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,353 交易量
$12,353 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$12,353 交易量
$12,353 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,730 交易量
94%
共和党
$5,623 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's dominant position in California's safely Democratic 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November general election. The East Bay seat features a strong partisan lean, with Kamala Harris carrying it 65-32% in 2024, and ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report and others. DeSaulnier boasts a massive fundraising edge, holding $656,000 cash-on-hand as of late March versus under $7,000 for top challengers. The June 2 top-two primary looms, likely advancing DeSaulnier alongside another Democrat or nominal Republican. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, personal scandal, health issues, or an overwhelming Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$12,353结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's dominant position in California's safely Democratic 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November general election. The East Bay seat features a strong partisan lean, with Kamala Harris carrying it 65-32% in 2024, and ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report and others. DeSaulnier boasts a massive fundraising edge, holding $656,000 cash-on-hand as of late March versus under $7,000 for top challengers. The June 2 top-two primary looms, likely advancing DeSaulnier alongside another Democrat or nominal Republican. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, personal scandal, health issues, or an overwhelming Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,353结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark DeSaulnier's dominant position in California's safely Democratic 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic Party win in the November general election. The East Bay seat features a strong partisan lean, with Kamala Harris carrying it 65-32% in 2024, and ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report and others. DeSaulnier boasts a massive fundraising edge, holding $656,000 cash-on-hand as of late March versus under $7,000 for top challengers. The June 2 top-two primary looms, likely advancing DeSaulnier alongside another Democrat or nominal Republican. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, personal scandal, health issues, or an overwhelming Republican midterm wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题