The commanding 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party in California's 14th Congressional District special election stems from the district's deep-blue partisan lean—Kamala Harris won by 36 points in 2024 amid heavy Democratic voter registration—and a crowded primary field dominated by experienced Democrats like state Sen. Aisha Wahab and attorney Rakhi Israni Singh, who lead parallel Polymarket candidate odds at 88% and 9%. Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 13 resignation over sexual misconduct allegations triggered the June 16 top-two primary and August 18 general, but fragmented Republican challengers (Wendy Huang, Dena Maldonado, Tom Wong, Jack Wu) face steep barriers in this East Bay seat. Realistic shifts would require a GOP surprise in the primary via low Democratic turnout or a major frontrunner scandal before ballots drop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,004 交易量
$25,004 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$25,004 交易量
$25,004 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,920 交易量
93%
共和党
$17,084 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party in California's 14th Congressional District special election stems from the district's deep-blue partisan lean—Kamala Harris won by 36 points in 2024 amid heavy Democratic voter registration—and a crowded primary field dominated by experienced Democrats like state Sen. Aisha Wahab and attorney Rakhi Israni Singh, who lead parallel Polymarket candidate odds at 88% and 9%. Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 13 resignation over sexual misconduct allegations triggered the June 16 top-two primary and August 18 general, but fragmented Republican challengers (Wendy Huang, Dena Maldonado, Tom Wong, Jack Wu) face steep barriers in this East Bay seat. Realistic shifts would require a GOP surprise in the primary via low Democratic turnout or a major frontrunner scandal before ballots drop.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$25,004结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party in California's 14th Congressional District special election stems from the district's deep-blue partisan lean—Kamala Harris won by 36 points in 2024 amid heavy Democratic voter registration—and a crowded primary field dominated by experienced Democrats like state Sen. Aisha Wahab and attorney Rakhi Israni Singh, who lead parallel Polymarket candidate odds at 88% and 9%. Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 13 resignation over sexual misconduct allegations triggered the June 16 top-two primary and August 18 general, but fragmented Republican challengers (Wendy Huang, Dena Maldonado, Tom Wong, Jack Wu) face steep barriers in this East Bay seat. Realistic shifts would require a GOP surprise in the primary via low Democratic turnout or a major frontrunner scandal before ballots drop.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,004结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding 92.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party in California's 14th Congressional District special election stems from the district's deep-blue partisan lean—Kamala Harris won by 36 points in 2024 amid heavy Democratic voter registration—and a crowded primary field dominated by experienced Democrats like state Sen. Aisha Wahab and attorney Rakhi Israni Singh, who lead parallel Polymarket candidate odds at 88% and 9%. Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 13 resignation over sexual misconduct allegations triggered the June 16 top-two primary and August 18 general, but fragmented Republican challengers (Wendy Huang, Dena Maldonado, Tom Wong, Jack Wu) face steep barriers in this East Bay seat. Realistic shifts would require a GOP surprise in the primary via low Democratic turnout or a major frontrunner scandal before ballots drop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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