Caleb Williams enters the 2026 season coming off a 3,942-yard campaign in 2025 that set a Bears franchise record, supported by an improved offensive line and weapons including Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III under head coach Ben Johnson. Through two games this year he has 407 passing yards while adding significant rushing production, but a Grade 2 hamstring strain sustained in Week 2 has sidelined him since, with backups Case Keenum and Tyson Bagent starting in his absence. Recovery timelines point to a potential mid-to-late October return, reducing his total games played and directly capping cumulative passing yards. Market pricing reflects trader assessment of how quickly he regains form, the Bears’ remaining schedule strength, and whether the offense sustains its early efficiency once he returns.