With leading contenders for the Palme d'Or clustered within a narrow range, trader consensus shows a tightly contested field where no single film has pulled ahead decisively. Films such as All of a Sudden from Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Fatherland by Pawel Pawlikowski sit at the top of implied probabilities, reflecting their directors' established critical reputations and strong early buzz from the competition slate. The close margins underscore how subtle shifts in jury sentiment, thematic resonance, or standout performances could tip the balance. As screenings continue and fresh reviews emerge, these elements will likely drive momentum ahead of the May awards ceremony.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner
Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 27%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 24%
MOULIN by László NEMES 23.6%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 23.3%
最新
最新
2026-05-23
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI
27%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke
28%
MOULIN by László NEMES
24%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI
23%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV
21%
HOPE by NA Hong-jin
8%
FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU
22%
詹姆斯·格雷《纸老虎》
5%
THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS
5%
A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET
3%
AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR
3%
PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI
3%
GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER
3%
SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu
3%
THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS
3%
NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE
3%
THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI
2%
COWARD by Lukas DHONT
27%
EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)
11%
DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH
1%
NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji
1%
ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY
<1%
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 27%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 24%
MOULIN by László NEMES 23.6%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 23.3%
最新
最新
2026-05-23
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI
$919 交易量
27%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke
$758 交易量
28%
MOULIN by László NEMES
$161 交易量
24%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI
$306 交易量
23%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV
$909 交易量
21%
HOPE by NA Hong-jin
$2,320 交易量
8%
FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU
$220 交易量
22%
詹姆斯·格雷《纸老虎》
$156 交易量
5%
THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS
$161 交易量
5%
A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET
$161 交易量
3%
AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR
$190 交易量
3%
PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI
$649 交易量
3%
GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER
$182 交易量
3%
SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu
$1,159 交易量
3%
THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS
$131 交易量
3%
NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE
$146 交易量
3%
THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI
$332 交易量
2%
COWARD by Lukas DHONT
$199 交易量
27%
EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)
$184 交易量
11%
DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH
$135 交易量
1%
NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji
$77 交易量
1%
ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY
$142 交易量
<1%
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders for the Palme d'Or clustered within a narrow range, trader consensus shows a tightly contested field where no single film has pulled ahead decisively. Films such as All of a Sudden from Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Fatherland by Pawel Pawlikowski sit at the top of implied probabilities, reflecting their directors' established critical reputations and strong early buzz from the competition slate. The close margins underscore how subtle shifts in jury sentiment, thematic resonance, or standout performances could tip the balance. As screenings continue and fresh reviews emerge, these elements will likely drive momentum ahead of the May awards ceremony.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$9,597结束日期
2026-05-23市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With leading contenders for the Palme d'Or clustered within a narrow range, trader consensus shows a tightly contested field where no single film has pulled ahead decisively. Films such as All of a Sudden from Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Fatherland by Pawel Pawlikowski sit at the top of implied probabilities, reflecting their directors' established critical reputations and strong early buzz from the competition slate. The close margins underscore how subtle shifts in jury sentiment, thematic resonance, or standout performances could tip the balance. As screenings continue and fresh reviews emerge, these elements will likely drive momentum ahead of the May awards ceremony.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,597结束日期
2026-05-23市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With leading contenders for the Palme d'Or clustered within a narrow range, trader consensus shows a tightly contested field where no single film has pulled ahead decisively. Films such as All of a Sudden from Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Fatherland by Pawel Pawlikowski sit at the top of implied probabilities, reflecting their directors' established critical reputations and strong early buzz from the competition slate. The close margins underscore how subtle shifts in jury sentiment, thematic resonance, or standout performances could tip the balance. As screenings continue and fresh reviews emerge, these elements will likely drive momentum ahead of the May awards ceremony.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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