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icon for 中央海岸市长选举获胜者

中央海岸市长选举获胜者

icon for 中央海岸市长选举获胜者

中央海岸市长选举获胜者

Polymarket
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Polymarket
最新
icon for 谢丽尔·富勒

谢丽尔·富勒

$324 交易量

75%

icon for 加里·卡彭特

加里·卡彭特

$464 交易量

13%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Cheryl Fuller holds a strong position in the Central Coast Council mayoral race, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of prominent challengers as of mid-2026. Local reporting indicates she confirmed plans to seek a second term, prioritizing council finances, while no sitting councillors have declared a mayoral bid and Garry Carpenter has signaled possible retirement amid other commitments. The October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections remain the resolution trigger, with the Tasmanian Electoral Commission declaring results. Limited candidate announcements and Fuller's prior 2022 victory margin continue to shape the implied probabilities ahead of any late entries.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$788
结束日期
2026-10-28
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Cheryl Fuller holds a strong position in the Central Coast Council mayoral race, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of prominent challengers as of mid-2026. Local reporting indicates she confirmed plans to seek a second term, prioritizing council finances, while no sitting councillors have declared a mayoral bid and Garry Carpenter has signaled possible retirement amid other commitments. The October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government elections remain the resolution trigger, with the Tasmanian Electoral Commission declaring results. Limited candidate announcements and Fuller's prior 2022 victory margin continue to shape the implied probabilities ahead of any late entries.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$788
结束日期
2026-10-28
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

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常见问题

"中央海岸市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"谢丽尔·富勒",概率为 75%,其次是"加里·卡彭特",概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 75¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 75%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"中央海岸市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 3, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"中央海岸市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"中央海岸市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"谢丽尔·富勒",概率为 75%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 75%。紧随其后的结果是"加里·卡彭特",概率为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"中央海岸市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。