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icon for 嘉义市市长选举获胜者

嘉义市市长选举获胜者

icon for 嘉义市市长选举获胜者

嘉义市市长选举获胜者

王美惠 76%

张其凯 18%

黄宏成 4.7%

陈家平 4.3%

Polymarket

$10,665 交易量

王美惠 76%

张其凯 18%

黄宏成 4.7%

陈家平 4.3%

Polymarket

$10,665 交易量

icon for 王美惠

王美惠

$7,709 交易量

76%

icon for 张其凯

张其凯

$1,617 交易量

18%

icon for 黄宏成

黄宏成

$344 交易量

5%

icon for 陈家平

陈家平

$248 交易量

4%

icon for 陈开黄

陈开黄

$240 交易量

3%

icon for 翁寿良

翁寿良

$508 交易量

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi City mayor in Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, holds the strongest trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, reflecting her established legislative profile, the party’s October 2025 nomination, and consistent polling leads over the main challenger. Opposition forces consolidated behind Taiwan People’s Party candidate Chang Chi-kai following KMT-TPP alliance primaries, with KMT declining an independent nominee to back the joint ticket, though this has not narrowed the gap beyond a reported six-point margin in mid-2026 surveys. Lower-priced options such as Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and Weng Shou-liang register limited support, consistent with the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate registration timelines or campaign momentum ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$10,665
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wang Mei-hui, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee for Chiayi City mayor in Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, holds the strongest trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability, reflecting her established legislative profile, the party’s October 2025 nomination, and consistent polling leads over the main challenger. Opposition forces consolidated behind Taiwan People’s Party candidate Chang Chi-kai following KMT-TPP alliance primaries, with KMT declining an independent nominee to back the joint ticket, though this has not narrowed the gap beyond a reported six-point margin in mid-2026 surveys. Lower-priced options such as Huang Hung-cheng, Chen Chia-ping, and Weng Shou-liang register limited support, consistent with the absence of major late-breaking shifts in candidate registration timelines or campaign momentum ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$10,665
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Chiayi City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"嘉义市市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"王美惠",概率为 76%,其次是"张其凯",概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 76¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 76%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"嘉义市市长选举获胜者"已产生 $10.7K 的总交易量(自Aug 14, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"嘉义市市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"嘉义市市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"王美惠",概率为 76%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 76%。紧随其后的结果是"张其凯",概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"嘉义市市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。