Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center following her January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas alongside Nicolás Maduro during Operation Absolute Resolve. She faces narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, where both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and subsequent March hearings denied bail and dismissal motions. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the June 30 status conference outcome, unconfirmed reports of possible cooperation or plea discussions, and diplomatic pressure from Russia and China alongside Venezuelan protests calling for release, with U.S. judicial timelines expected to determine any resolution before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,312,619 交易量
12月31日
26%
$1,312,619 交易量
12月31日
26%
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center following her January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas alongside Nicolás Maduro during Operation Absolute Resolve. She faces narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, where both pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment and subsequent March hearings denied bail and dismissal motions. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the June 30 status conference outcome, unconfirmed reports of possible cooperation or plea discussions, and diplomatic pressure from Russia and China alongside Venezuelan protests calling for release, with U.S. judicial timelines expected to determine any resolution before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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