Bipartisan congressional skepticism toward any comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement, particularly one involving sanctions relief or reconstruction funding, underpins the strong market consensus against approval in 2026. Following U.S.-Iran hostilities that began in February, President Trump signed a June memorandum of understanding launching 60-day nuclear and related talks, yet lawmakers in both chambers passed war powers resolutions rebuking the administration and signaling demands for oversight. Recent legislation extending Iran sanctions through 2031 and ongoing maximum-pressure statements from U.S. officials further reflect institutional resistance. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, any nuclear-related pact would face formal congressional scrutiny, but the political barriers to affirmative passage remain high given cross-party concerns over verification, economic concessions, and strategic risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
8% 概率
$13,170 交易量
$13,170 交易量
2026-12-31
8% 概率
$13,170 交易量
$13,170 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan congressional skepticism toward any comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement, particularly one involving sanctions relief or reconstruction funding, underpins the strong market consensus against approval in 2026. Following U.S.-Iran hostilities that began in February, President Trump signed a June memorandum of understanding launching 60-day nuclear and related talks, yet lawmakers in both chambers passed war powers resolutions rebuking the administration and signaling demands for oversight. Recent legislation extending Iran sanctions through 2031 and ongoing maximum-pressure statements from U.S. officials further reflect institutional resistance. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, any nuclear-related pact would face formal congressional scrutiny, but the political barriers to affirmative passage remain high given cross-party concerns over verification, economic concessions, and strategic risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
交易量
$13,170结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan congressional skepticism toward any comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement, particularly one involving sanctions relief or reconstruction funding, underpins the strong market consensus against approval in 2026. Following U.S.-Iran hostilities that began in February, President Trump signed a June memorandum of understanding launching 60-day nuclear and related talks, yet lawmakers in both chambers passed war powers resolutions rebuking the administration and signaling demands for oversight. Recent legislation extending Iran sanctions through 2031 and ongoing maximum-pressure statements from U.S. officials further reflect institutional resistance. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, any nuclear-related pact would face formal congressional scrutiny, but the political barriers to affirmative passage remain high given cross-party concerns over verification, economic concessions, and strategic risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$13,170结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETBipartisan congressional skepticism toward any comprehensive U.S.-Iran agreement, particularly one involving sanctions relief or reconstruction funding, underpins the strong market consensus against approval in 2026. Following U.S.-Iran hostilities that began in February, President Trump signed a June memorandum of understanding launching 60-day nuclear and related talks, yet lawmakers in both chambers passed war powers resolutions rebuking the administration and signaling demands for oversight. Recent legislation extending Iran sanctions through 2031 and ongoing maximum-pressure statements from U.S. officials further reflect institutional resistance. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, any nuclear-related pact would face formal congressional scrutiny, but the political barriers to affirmative passage remain high given cross-party concerns over verification, economic concessions, and strategic risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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