Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes anchors the strong consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, backed by an eight-term record, over $2.3 million in cash on hand, and the seat's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent 59-62% margins in recent cycles. No competitive Republican has filed ahead of the June 9 deadline, leaving only minor primary contenders and independents for the November 3 general election. With primaries set for August 11, trader pricing aligns with the district's suburban Democratic base and absence of recent shifts in fundraising or endorsements. A late high-profile GOP recruit, unexpected scandal, or broad national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,182 交易量
$31,182 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
5%
$31,182 交易量
$31,182 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,407 交易量
93%
共和党
$17,775 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes anchors the strong consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, backed by an eight-term record, over $2.3 million in cash on hand, and the seat's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent 59-62% margins in recent cycles. No competitive Republican has filed ahead of the June 9 deadline, leaving only minor primary contenders and independents for the November 3 general election. With primaries set for August 11, trader pricing aligns with the district's suburban Democratic base and absence of recent shifts in fundraising or endorsements. A late high-profile GOP recruit, unexpected scandal, or broad national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$31,182结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes anchors the strong consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, backed by an eight-term record, over $2.3 million in cash on hand, and the seat's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent 59-62% margins in recent cycles. No competitive Republican has filed ahead of the June 9 deadline, leaving only minor primary contenders and independents for the November 3 general election. With primaries set for August 11, trader pricing aligns with the district's suburban Democratic base and absence of recent shifts in fundraising or endorsements. A late high-profile GOP recruit, unexpected scandal, or broad national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,182结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes anchors the strong consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, backed by an eight-term record, over $2.3 million in cash on hand, and the seat's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent 59-62% margins in recent cycles. No competitive Republican has filed ahead of the June 9 deadline, leaving only minor primary contenders and independents for the November 3 general election. With primaries set for August 11, trader pricing aligns with the district's suburban Democratic base and absence of recent shifts in fundraising or endorsements. A late high-profile GOP recruit, unexpected scandal, or broad national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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