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icon for 库斯科市长选举胜利者

库斯科市长选举胜利者

icon for 库斯科市长选举胜利者

库斯科市长选举胜利者

威廉·佩尼亚·法尔凡 47%

伊万·乌尔塔多·比利亚富埃特 32.9%

尤洛希奥·塔皮亚·德萨 30%

阿尔伯特·阿尼瓦尔·阿雷纳斯·亚瓦尔 17%

Polymarket
最新

威廉·佩尼亚·法尔凡 47%

伊万·乌尔塔多·比利亚富埃特 32.9%

尤洛希奥·塔皮亚·德萨 30%

阿尔伯特·阿尼瓦尔·阿雷纳斯·亚瓦尔 17%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 威廉·佩尼亚·法尔凡

威廉·佩尼亚·法尔凡

$150 交易量

47%

icon for 伊万·乌尔塔多·比利亚富埃特

伊万·乌尔塔多·比利亚富埃特

$83 交易量

33%

icon for 尤洛希奥·塔皮亚·德萨

尤洛希奥·塔皮亚·德萨

$83 交易量

30%

icon for 阿尔伯特·阿尼瓦尔·阿雷纳斯·亚瓦尔

阿尔伯特·阿尼瓦尔·阿雷纳斯·亚瓦尔

$106 交易量

17%

icon for 德尔芬·肯尼迪·奎斯佩·克卡拉

德尔芬·肯尼迪·奎斯佩·克卡拉

$106 交易量

12%

icon for Jesyka Guevara Villanueva

Jesyka Guevara Villanueva

$124 交易量

7%

icon for 加布里埃拉·帕利萨·罗梅罗

加布里埃拉·帕利萨·罗梅罗

$83 交易量

7%

icon for 豪尔赫·路易斯·塞古拉·蒂托

豪尔赫·路易斯·塞古拉·蒂托

$111 交易量

7%

icon for 维克多·维达尔·皮诺·萨姆布拉诺

维克多·维达尔·皮诺·萨姆布拉诺

$104 交易量

6%

icon for 塞尔吉奥·苏尔卡·孔多里

塞尔吉奥·苏尔卡·孔多里

$97 交易量

5%

icon for 伊丽莎白·莫妮卡·涅托·阿尔瓦雷斯

伊丽莎白·莫妮卡·涅托·阿尔瓦雷斯

$163 交易量

11%

icon for 爱德华多·赞斯·洛亚萨

爱德华多·赞斯·洛亚萨

$104 交易量

5%

icon for 豪尔赫·罗赫利奥·巴尔加斯·费布雷斯

豪尔赫·罗赫利奥·巴尔加斯·费布雷斯

$128 交易量

9%

icon for 费德里科·华曼·塔帕拉

费德里科·华曼·塔帕拉

$160 交易量

1%

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Cusco provincial mayoral race on October 4 remains highly fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates, including William Peña Farfán, Iván Hurtado Villafuerte, Eulogio Tapia Deza, Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar, and several others with local government experience. High undecided voter shares near 50 percent and vote-splitting across regional movements have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support in early surveys. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with no dominant frontrunner and limited recent catalysts such as major endorsements, scandals, or polling shifts to separate the field. As the campaign period advances, factors like turnout among tourism-dependent districts, district-level alliances, and late visibility for incumbents or ex-officials could create clearer separation ahead of election day.

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
交易量
$1,598
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Cusco provincial mayoral race on October 4 remains highly fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates, including William Peña Farfán, Iván Hurtado Villafuerte, Eulogio Tapia Deza, Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar, and several others with local government experience. High undecided voter shares near 50 percent and vote-splitting across regional movements have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support in early surveys. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with no dominant frontrunner and limited recent catalysts such as major endorsements, scandals, or polling shifts to separate the field. As the campaign period advances, factors like turnout among tourism-dependent districts, district-level alliances, and late visibility for incumbents or ex-officials could create clearer separation ahead of election day.

The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
交易量
$1,598
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

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常见问题

"库斯科市长选举胜利者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 14 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"威廉·佩尼亚·法尔凡",概率为 47%,其次是"伊万·乌尔塔多·比利亚富埃特",概率为 33%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 47¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 47%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"库斯科市长选举胜利者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 12, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"库斯科市长选举胜利者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 14 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"库斯科市长选举胜利者"的当前领先者是"威廉·佩尼亚·法尔凡",概率为 47%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 47%。紧随其后的结果是"伊万·乌尔塔多·比利亚富埃特",概率为 33%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"库斯科市长选举胜利者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。