The tightly bunched probabilities for the DP World Tour Irish Open first-round leader reflect a deep field of 138 players contesting links golf at Trump International Doonbeg, where Atlantic winds and firm conditions typically produce scattered scoring and limit any single standout. Jon Rahm’s two prior victories in the event and recent strong form, including a runner-up at the PGA Championship, support his 18% implied probability alongside Padraig Harrington’s consistent recent Champions Tour results. Jordan Smith leads at 27% on the strength of steady ball-striking, while players such as Joaquin Niemann and Harry Hall sit near 17% amid comparable recent European and PGA Tour showings. With no dominant pre-tournament favorite and every round carrying equal weight toward the opening leader, trader consensus prices the outcome as highly competitive and sensitive to early-round execution on the new venue.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Alex Fitzpatrick 33%
Brooks Koepka 33%
Casey Jarvis 33%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 33%
Alex Fitzpatrick
33%
Brooks Koepka
33%
Casey Jarvis
33%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
33%
Angel Ayora
33%
David Puig
33%
Adrian Meronk
32%
Adrian Otaegui
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
32%
Angel Hidalgo
32%
Antoine Rozner
32%
Ashun Wu
32%
Ben Schmidt
32%
Bernd Wiesberger
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
32%
Brandon Stone
32%
Daniel Bradbury
32%
Daniel Gavins
32%
Daniel Hillier
32%
David Micheluzzi
32%
David Ravetto
32%
Dylan Frittelli
32%
Dylan Naidoo
32%
Frederic Lacroix
32%
Eddie Pepperell
32%
Erik van Rooyen
32%
Ewen Ferguson
32%
Francesco Laporta
32%
Frankie Capan
32%
Freddy Schott
32%
Grant Forrest
32%
Andy Sullivan
32%
Calum Hill
32%
Connor Syme
32%
Cormac Sharvin
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
32%
Danny Willett
32%
Darius van Driel
32%
Davis Bryant
32%
Francesco Molinari
32%
Jordan Smith
27%
Padraig Harrington
21%
Jon Rahm
18%
Joaquin Niemann
18%
Matt Wallace
17%
Matthew Jordan
17%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
17%
Oliver Lindell
17%
Patrick Reed
17%
Harry Hall
17%
Jacob Skov Olesen
17%
Liam Nolan
17%
Luke Donald
17%
Manuel Elvira
17%
Marcus Helligkilde
17%
Max Kennedy
17%
Mikael Lindberg
17%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
17%
Pablo Larrazabal
17%
Gregorio De Leo
17%
Hennie Du Plessis
17%
Ignacio Elvira
17%
Jason Scrivener
17%
Jayden Schaper
17%
Jeff Winther
17%
Jeong-Weon Ko
17%
Joakim Lagergren
17%
Joseph Dean
17%
Guido Migliozzi
17%
Haotong Li
17%
Ivan Cantero
17%
J. C. Ritchie
17%
Jack Senior
17%
Jacques Kruyswijk
17%
Jens Dantorp
17%
Joel Girrbach
17%
Johannes Veerman
17%
John Catlin
17%
Joost Luiten
17%
Jordan Gumberg
17%
Jorge Campillo
17%
Mark Power
17%
Martin Couvra
17%
Matteo Manassero
17%
Maximilian Steinlechner
17%
Michael Hollick
17%
Nathan Kimsey
17%
Julien Guerrier
17%
Jung-Hwan Lee
17%
Kazuma Kobori
17%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
17%
Kota Kaneko
17%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
17%
Laurie Canter
17%
Marcus Armitage
17%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
17%
Niklas Lemke
17%
Niklas Noergaard
17%
Paul Waring
17%
Marcel Schneider
16%
Alex Fitzpatrick 33%
Brooks Koepka 33%
Casey Jarvis 33%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 33%
Alex Fitzpatrick
33%
Brooks Koepka
33%
Casey Jarvis
33%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
33%
Angel Ayora
33%
David Puig
33%
Adrian Meronk
32%
Adrian Otaegui
32%
Alejandro Del Rey
32%
Angel Hidalgo
32%
Antoine Rozner
32%
Ashun Wu
32%
Ben Schmidt
32%
Bernd Wiesberger
32%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
32%
Brandon Stone
32%
Daniel Bradbury
32%
Daniel Gavins
32%
Daniel Hillier
32%
David Micheluzzi
32%
David Ravetto
32%
Dylan Frittelli
32%
Dylan Naidoo
32%
Frederic Lacroix
32%
Eddie Pepperell
32%
Erik van Rooyen
32%
Ewen Ferguson
32%
Francesco Laporta
32%
Frankie Capan
32%
Freddy Schott
32%
Grant Forrest
32%
Andy Sullivan
32%
Calum Hill
32%
Connor Syme
32%
Cormac Sharvin
32%
Daniel Rodrigues
32%
Danny Willett
32%
Darius van Driel
32%
Davis Bryant
32%
Francesco Molinari
32%
Jordan Smith
27%
Padraig Harrington
21%
Jon Rahm
18%
Joaquin Niemann
18%
Matt Wallace
17%
Matthew Jordan
17%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
17%
Oliver Lindell
17%
Patrick Reed
17%
Harry Hall
17%
Jacob Skov Olesen
17%
Liam Nolan
17%
Luke Donald
17%
Manuel Elvira
17%
Marcus Helligkilde
17%
Max Kennedy
17%
Mikael Lindberg
17%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
17%
Pablo Larrazabal
17%
Gregorio De Leo
17%
Hennie Du Plessis
17%
Ignacio Elvira
17%
Jason Scrivener
17%
Jayden Schaper
17%
Jeff Winther
17%
Jeong-Weon Ko
17%
Joakim Lagergren
17%
Joseph Dean
17%
Guido Migliozzi
17%
Haotong Li
17%
Ivan Cantero
17%
J. C. Ritchie
17%
Jack Senior
17%
Jacques Kruyswijk
17%
Jens Dantorp
17%
Joel Girrbach
17%
Johannes Veerman
17%
John Catlin
17%
Joost Luiten
17%
Jordan Gumberg
17%
Jorge Campillo
17%
Mark Power
17%
Martin Couvra
17%
Matteo Manassero
17%
Maximilian Steinlechner
17%
Michael Hollick
17%
Nathan Kimsey
17%
Julien Guerrier
17%
Jung-Hwan Lee
17%
Kazuma Kobori
17%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
17%
Kota Kaneko
17%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
17%
Laurie Canter
17%
Marcus Armitage
17%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
17%
Niklas Lemke
17%
Niklas Noergaard
17%
Paul Waring
17%
Marcel Schneider
16%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
The tightly bunched probabilities for the DP World Tour Irish Open first-round leader reflect a deep field of 138 players contesting links golf at Trump International Doonbeg, where Atlantic winds and firm conditions typically produce scattered scoring and limit any single standout. Jon Rahm’s two prior victories in the event and recent strong form, including a runner-up at the PGA Championship, support his 18% implied probability alongside Padraig Harrington’s consistent recent Champions Tour results. Jordan Smith leads at 27% on the strength of steady ball-striking, while players such as Joaquin Niemann and Harry Hall sit near 17% amid comparable recent European and PGA Tour showings. With no dominant pre-tournament favorite and every round carrying equal weight toward the opening leader, trader consensus prices the outcome as highly competitive and sensitive to early-round execution on the new venue.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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