Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the market’s narrow lead amid a fragmented field of pre-candidates. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in both first-round and runoff scenarios, supported by 77% approval and new alliances including the União Progressista federation. Earlier Quaest surveys indicated technical ties among four or more contenders, reflecting the state’s multi-party dynamics and the October 4 first-round structure that often forces runoffs. Opposition names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, Euclério Sampaio, and others remain in contention, with coalition negotiations and candidate consolidation likely to determine whether the race separates before election day. Traders price the outcome as competitive given these structural and polling factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于里卡多·费哈索 55%
洛伦索·帕佐利尼 29%
Euclério Sampaio 17%
阿纳尔迪尼奥·博尔戈 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
里卡多·费哈索
55%
洛伦索·帕佐利尼
29%
Euclério Sampaio
17%
阿纳尔迪尼奥·博尔戈
15%
塞尔吉奥·维迪加尔
3%
里卡多·费哈索 55%
洛伦索·帕佐利尼 29%
Euclério Sampaio 17%
阿纳尔迪尼奥·博尔戈 15%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
里卡多·费哈索
$60 交易量
55%
洛伦索·帕佐利尼
$120 交易量
29%
Euclério Sampaio
$45 交易量
17%
阿纳尔迪尼奥·博尔戈
$121 交易量
15%
塞尔吉奥·维迪加尔
$37 交易量
3%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the market’s narrow lead amid a fragmented field of pre-candidates. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in both first-round and runoff scenarios, supported by 77% approval and new alliances including the União Progressista federation. Earlier Quaest surveys indicated technical ties among four or more contenders, reflecting the state’s multi-party dynamics and the October 4 first-round structure that often forces runoffs. Opposition names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, Euclério Sampaio, and others remain in contention, with coalition negotiations and candidate consolidation likely to determine whether the race separates before election day. Traders price the outcome as competitive given these structural and polling factors.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
交易量
$383结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the market’s narrow lead amid a fragmented field of pre-candidates. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in both first-round and runoff scenarios, supported by 77% approval and new alliances including the União Progressista federation. Earlier Quaest surveys indicated technical ties among four or more contenders, reflecting the state’s multi-party dynamics and the October 4 first-round structure that often forces runoffs. Opposition names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, Euclério Sampaio, and others remain in contention, with coalition negotiations and candidate consolidation likely to determine whether the race separates before election day. Traders price the outcome as competitive given these structural and polling factors.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$383结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the market’s narrow lead amid a fragmented field of pre-candidates. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows him ahead of Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in both first-round and runoff scenarios, supported by 77% approval and new alliances including the União Progressista federation. Earlier Quaest surveys indicated technical ties among four or more contenders, reflecting the state’s multi-party dynamics and the October 4 first-round structure that often forces runoffs. Opposition names such as Arnaldinho Borgo, Sergio Vidigal, Euclério Sampaio, and others remain in contention, with coalition negotiations and candidate consolidation likely to determine whether the race separates before election day. Traders price the outcome as competitive given these structural and polling factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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