Bulgaria's Dara with "Bangaranga" has surged into the clear lead at 57.3% implied probability on the back of standout rehearsal buzz, a commanding semi-final performance, and strong early televote signals that have shifted trader consensus ahead of tonight's grand final in Vienna. Israel follows at 25.3% with Noam Bettan's "Michelle," buoyed by consistent jury appeal and established pop credentials, while Finland sits at 22.4% thanks to the violin-driven ballad "Liekinheitin" from Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen. The compressed market reflects late momentum swings from semi qualifiers and running-order positioning, with Australia and lower contenders trailing amid the unpredictable mix of jury and public voting that defines Eurovision outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
保加利亚 88.1%
以色列 17.2%
澳大利亚 7.5%
乌克兰 <1%
$191,909,092 交易量
$191,909,092 交易量

保加利亚
83%

以色列
17%

澳大利亚
8%

乌克兰
<1%

芬兰
<1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

奥地利
<1%

比利时
<1%

克罗地亚
<1%

捷克
<1%

法国
<1%

德国
<1%

摩尔多瓦
<1%

挪威
<1%

瑞典
<1%

塞浦路斯
<1%

丹麦
<1%

希腊
<1%

意大利
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

马耳他
<1%

波兰
<1%

罗马尼亚
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

英国
<1%
保加利亚 88.1%
以色列 17.2%
澳大利亚 7.5%
乌克兰 <1%
$191,909,092 交易量
$191,909,092 交易量

保加利亚
83%

以色列
17%

澳大利亚
8%

乌克兰
<1%

芬兰
<1%

阿尔巴尼亚
<1%

奥地利
<1%

比利时
<1%

克罗地亚
<1%

捷克
<1%

法国
<1%

德国
<1%

摩尔多瓦
<1%

挪威
<1%

瑞典
<1%

塞浦路斯
<1%

丹麦
<1%

希腊
<1%

意大利
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

马耳他
<1%

波兰
<1%

罗马尼亚
<1%

塞尔维亚
<1%

英国
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bulgaria's Dara with "Bangaranga" has surged into the clear lead at 57.3% implied probability on the back of standout rehearsal buzz, a commanding semi-final performance, and strong early televote signals that have shifted trader consensus ahead of tonight's grand final in Vienna. Israel follows at 25.3% with Noam Bettan's "Michelle," buoyed by consistent jury appeal and established pop credentials, while Finland sits at 22.4% thanks to the violin-driven ballad "Liekinheitin" from Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen. The compressed market reflects late momentum swings from semi qualifiers and running-order positioning, with Australia and lower contenders trailing amid the unpredictable mix of jury and public voting that defines Eurovision outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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