Magnus Carlsen enters the Esports World Cup Chess Finals in Paris as defending champion and recent winner of the Chess.com Open and TePe Sigeman events, giving traders the clearest signal of current form in a 22-player field featuring rapid 10+0 time controls and double-elimination brackets. His 55.5% implied probability reflects that edge, yet the market remains bunched because qualifiers via the Champions Chess Tour, Speed Chess Championship, and last-chance events have produced a deep group including Nakamura, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, Lazavik, and Esipenko, each with proven head-to-head records and recent CCT points. Group-stage play-ins and short matches amplify variance, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance through the August 11–15 schedule.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Magnus Carlsen 55%
Denis Lazavik 37%
Aleksej Sarana 25%
Hikaru Nakamura 25%
Magnus Carlsen
55%
Denis Lazavik
37%
Aleksej Sarana
25%
Hikaru Nakamura
25%
Nihal Sarin
25%
Hans Moke Niemann
23%
Pranesh Munirethinam
23%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
22%
Andrey Esipenko
21%
Wei Yi
21%
Alireza Firouzja
21%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
21%
Arjun Erigaisi
21%
Sina Movahed
21%
Benjamin Bok
21%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
21%
Magnus Carlsen 55%
Denis Lazavik 37%
Aleksej Sarana 25%
Hikaru Nakamura 25%
Magnus Carlsen
55%
Denis Lazavik
37%
Aleksej Sarana
25%
Hikaru Nakamura
25%
Nihal Sarin
25%
Hans Moke Niemann
23%
Pranesh Munirethinam
23%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
22%
Andrey Esipenko
21%
Wei Yi
21%
Alireza Firouzja
21%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
21%
Arjun Erigaisi
21%
Sina Movahed
21%
Benjamin Bok
21%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
21%
If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen enters the Esports World Cup Chess Finals in Paris as defending champion and recent winner of the Chess.com Open and TePe Sigeman events, giving traders the clearest signal of current form in a 22-player field featuring rapid 10+0 time controls and double-elimination brackets. His 55.5% implied probability reflects that edge, yet the market remains bunched because qualifiers via the Champions Chess Tour, Speed Chess Championship, and last-chance events have produced a deep group including Nakamura, Firouzja, Abdusattorov, Lazavik, and Esipenko, each with proven head-to-head records and recent CCT points. Group-stage play-ins and short matches amplify variance, keeping multiple contenders within striking distance through the August 11–15 schedule.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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