Mercedes leads the Canadian Grand Prix constructor pole market at 42% implied probability, reflecting the team's dominant early-season form under the 2026 regulations. The W17 has delivered consistent front-row pace, with Kimi Antonelli and George Russell converting that advantage into multiple recent poles and victories, including strong showings through Miami. McLaren sits second at 32% on the back of improved one-lap speed in recent sessions, while Red Bull and Ferrari trail at 19.5% and 18% amid ongoing development gaps on high-downforce tracks like Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve. Lower-placed squads such as Williams and Alpine remain long shots, with their best qualifying results this year still well behind the leaders. Trader pricing aligns closely with current championship standings and recent qualifying trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Mercedes 42%
Mclaren Mastercard 34%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
Mercedes
42%
Mclaren Mastercard
34%
Red Bull
20%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
4%
Cadillac
3%
Alpine
2%
Aston Martin
2%
Racing Bulls
1%
Tgr Haas
1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
Mercedes 42%
Mclaren Mastercard 34%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
Mercedes
42%
Mclaren Mastercard
34%
Red Bull
20%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
4%
Cadillac
3%
Alpine
2%
Aston Martin
2%
Racing Bulls
1%
Tgr Haas
1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercedes leads the Canadian Grand Prix constructor pole market at 42% implied probability, reflecting the team's dominant early-season form under the 2026 regulations. The W17 has delivered consistent front-row pace, with Kimi Antonelli and George Russell converting that advantage into multiple recent poles and victories, including strong showings through Miami. McLaren sits second at 32% on the back of improved one-lap speed in recent sessions, while Red Bull and Ferrari trail at 19.5% and 18% amid ongoing development gaps on high-downforce tracks like Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve. Lower-placed squads such as Williams and Alpine remain long shots, with their best qualifying results this year still well behind the leaders. Trader pricing aligns closely with current championship standings and recent qualifying trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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