Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Mercedes 85%
Ferrari 10.4%
McLaren 2.1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$25,857,460 交易量
$25,857,460 交易量
2026-12-06
Mercedes
85%
Ferrari
10%
McLaren
2%
Red Bull Racing
1%
Williams
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 85%
Ferrari 10.4%
McLaren 2.1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$25,857,460 交易量
$25,857,460 交易量
2026-12-06
Mercedes
$835,576 交易量
85%
Ferrari
$541,893 交易量
10%
McLaren
$1,617,932 交易量
2%
Red Bull Racing
$706,468 交易量
1%
Williams
$3,580,907 交易量
<1%
Aston Martin
$2,926,662 交易量
<1%
Audi
$2,970,058 交易量
<1%
Cadillac
$3,502,022 交易量
<1%
Racing Bulls
$2,953,923 交易量
<1%
Haas
$3,082,470 交易量
<1%
Alpine
$3,139,549 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$25,857,460结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
交易量
$25,857,460结束日期
2026-12-06市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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