Spain enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the consensus Group H favorite at 79.5% implied probability, reflecting its FIFA world ranking of No. 1, Euro 2024 title, and strong recent form that includes a 3-0 March friendly win over Serbia with Rodri returning from long-term injury. Trader positioning also factors in La Roja’s technical control under Luis de la Fuente, deep squad options, and favorable schedule featuring matches against lower-ranked sides in Atlanta and Houston. Uruguay holds second at 16.5% on the strength of its CONMEBOL pedigree and physical style suited to the Guadalajara showdown on June 26, though transitional elements and modest recent results cap expectations. Saudi Arabia and debutants Cape Verde sit at 2.8% and 1.1%, limited by lower rankings and limited elite-level results heading into the June 15-26 group stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于西班牙 80%
乌拉圭 17%
沙特阿拉伯 2.8%
佛得角 1.0%
$174,814 交易量
$174,814 交易量
2026-06-27
西班牙
80%
乌拉圭
17%
沙特阿拉伯
3%
佛得角
1%
西班牙 80%
乌拉圭 17%
沙特阿拉伯 2.8%
佛得角 1.0%
$174,814 交易量
$174,814 交易量
2026-06-27
西班牙
$17,811 交易量
80%
乌拉圭
$6,861 交易量
17%
沙特阿拉伯
$92,988 交易量
3%
佛得角
$57,154 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the consensus Group H favorite at 79.5% implied probability, reflecting its FIFA world ranking of No. 1, Euro 2024 title, and strong recent form that includes a 3-0 March friendly win over Serbia with Rodri returning from long-term injury. Trader positioning also factors in La Roja’s technical control under Luis de la Fuente, deep squad options, and favorable schedule featuring matches against lower-ranked sides in Atlanta and Houston. Uruguay holds second at 16.5% on the strength of its CONMEBOL pedigree and physical style suited to the Guadalajara showdown on June 26, though transitional elements and modest recent results cap expectations. Saudi Arabia and debutants Cape Verde sit at 2.8% and 1.1%, limited by lower rankings and limited elite-level results heading into the June 15-26 group stage.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
交易量
$174,814结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the consensus Group H favorite at 79.5% implied probability, reflecting its FIFA world ranking of No. 1, Euro 2024 title, and strong recent form that includes a 3-0 March friendly win over Serbia with Rodri returning from long-term injury. Trader positioning also factors in La Roja’s technical control under Luis de la Fuente, deep squad options, and favorable schedule featuring matches against lower-ranked sides in Atlanta and Houston. Uruguay holds second at 16.5% on the strength of its CONMEBOL pedigree and physical style suited to the Guadalajara showdown on June 26, though transitional elements and modest recent results cap expectations. Saudi Arabia and debutants Cape Verde sit at 2.8% and 1.1%, limited by lower rankings and limited elite-level results heading into the June 15-26 group stage.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$174,814结束日期
2026-06-27市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as the consensus Group H favorite at 79.5% implied probability, reflecting its FIFA world ranking of No. 1, Euro 2024 title, and strong recent form that includes a 3-0 March friendly win over Serbia with Rodri returning from long-term injury. Trader positioning also factors in La Roja’s technical control under Luis de la Fuente, deep squad options, and favorable schedule featuring matches against lower-ranked sides in Atlanta and Houston. Uruguay holds second at 16.5% on the strength of its CONMEBOL pedigree and physical style suited to the Guadalajara showdown on June 26, though transitional elements and modest recent results cap expectations. Saudi Arabia and debutants Cape Verde sit at 2.8% and 1.1%, limited by lower rankings and limited elite-level results heading into the June 15-26 group stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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