France's star-studded squad and proven depth as multiple-time World Cup finalists anchor trader consensus for topping Group I, with recent squad announcements and strong March friendlies reinforcing their edge heading into the June group stage. Norway's high-powered attack led by Erling Haaland and a solid qualifying campaign supports their position as the clearest challenger, while Senegal's physical style and status as reigning AFCON champions provide realistic upset potential in key fixtures like the opener against France. Iraq's return after four decades adds emotional motivation but highlights a steep gap in experience and talent against the top sides. These dynamics align with the current implied probabilities, emphasizing how recent form and roster stability shape expectations for group advancement.