Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, with incumbent Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled GOP primary for the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on prior results and partisan composition, limiting Democratic prospects despite the August 18 primary featuring LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson. Trader consensus at roughly 80% for Republicans aligns with the absence of competitive challengers, low national attention, and Florida's broader electoral patterns that favor the party holding the seat. Late primary outcomes or turnout shifts could introduce modest volatility before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,249 交易量
$22,249 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
80%
民主党
19%
$22,249 交易量
$22,249 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$13,527 交易量
80%
民主党
$8,722 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, with incumbent Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled GOP primary for the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on prior results and partisan composition, limiting Democratic prospects despite the August 18 primary featuring LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson. Trader consensus at roughly 80% for Republicans aligns with the absence of competitive challengers, low national attention, and Florida's broader electoral patterns that favor the party holding the seat. Late primary outcomes or turnout shifts could introduce modest volatility before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$22,249结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, with incumbent Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled GOP primary for the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on prior results and partisan composition, limiting Democratic prospects despite the August 18 primary featuring LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson. Trader consensus at roughly 80% for Republicans aligns with the absence of competitive challengers, low national attention, and Florida's broader electoral patterns that favor the party holding the seat. Late primary outcomes or turnout shifts could introduce modest volatility before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,249结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, with incumbent Aaron Bean advancing unopposed through the canceled GOP primary for the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican based on prior results and partisan composition, limiting Democratic prospects despite the August 18 primary featuring LaShonda Holloway, Michael Kirwan, and Brittney Robinson. Trader consensus at roughly 80% for Republicans aligns with the absence of competitive challengers, low national attention, and Florida's broader electoral patterns that favor the party holding the seat. Late primary outcomes or turnout shifts could introduce modest volatility before the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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