Incumbent Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong reelection bid in Florida's 27th Congressional District, bolstered by a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and consistent Likely Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 70.5%. Salazar's dominant first-quarter fundraising—$1.9 million cash on hand—dwarfs challengers in her primary and leads Democratic contenders ahead of the August 18 primaries. A crowded Democratic field featuring frontrunners Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez remains fragmented, with Peguero gaining a fresh endorsement from Rep. Glenn Ivey this week, though no recent general election polls have shifted the race from its incumbent-favored path toward November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,194 交易量
$10,194 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
71%
民主党
27%
$10,194 交易量
$10,194 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,974 交易量
71%
民主党
$6,220 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong reelection bid in Florida's 27th Congressional District, bolstered by a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and consistent Likely Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 70.5%. Salazar's dominant first-quarter fundraising—$1.9 million cash on hand—dwarfs challengers in her primary and leads Democratic contenders ahead of the August 18 primaries. A crowded Democratic field featuring frontrunners Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez remains fragmented, with Peguero gaining a fresh endorsement from Rep. Glenn Ivey this week, though no recent general election polls have shifted the race from its incumbent-favored path toward November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$10,194结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong reelection bid in Florida's 27th Congressional District, bolstered by a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and consistent Likely Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 70.5%. Salazar's dominant first-quarter fundraising—$1.9 million cash on hand—dwarfs challengers in her primary and leads Democratic contenders ahead of the August 18 primaries. A crowded Democratic field featuring frontrunners Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez remains fragmented, with Peguero gaining a fresh endorsement from Rep. Glenn Ivey this week, though no recent general election polls have shifted the race from its incumbent-favored path toward November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,194结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's strong reelection bid in Florida's 27th Congressional District, bolstered by a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and consistent Likely Republican ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus pricing Republicans at 70.5%. Salazar's dominant first-quarter fundraising—$1.9 million cash on hand—dwarfs challengers in her primary and leads Democratic contenders ahead of the August 18 primaries. A crowded Democratic field featuring frontrunners Robin Peguero and Eliott Rodriguez remains fragmented, with Peguero gaining a fresh endorsement from Rep. Glenn Ivey this week, though no recent general election polls have shifted the race from its incumbent-favored path toward November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题