Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term limits bar incumbent Ron DeSantis from seeking a third consecutive term, with the November 3 general election following the August 18 primary. Republican Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the GOP primary, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30 points or more over rivals such as Jay Collins. Florida's electorate has delivered Republican victories in every gubernatorial race since 1998, reinforced by recent statewide results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Likely Republican. On the Democratic side, former U.S. Representative David Jolly has emerged as the frontrunner but trails significantly in head-to-head general election surveys. These structural factors and primary dynamics underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 82.5% implied probability versus 18% for a Democrat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,007 交易量
$35,007 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$35,007 交易量
$35,007 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$14,553 交易量
83%
民主党
$20,454 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term limits bar incumbent Ron DeSantis from seeking a third consecutive term, with the November 3 general election following the August 18 primary. Republican Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the GOP primary, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30 points or more over rivals such as Jay Collins. Florida's electorate has delivered Republican victories in every gubernatorial race since 1998, reinforced by recent statewide results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Likely Republican. On the Democratic side, former U.S. Representative David Jolly has emerged as the frontrunner but trails significantly in head-to-head general election surveys. These structural factors and primary dynamics underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 82.5% implied probability versus 18% for a Democrat.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$35,007结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term limits bar incumbent Ron DeSantis from seeking a third consecutive term, with the November 3 general election following the August 18 primary. Republican Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the GOP primary, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30 points or more over rivals such as Jay Collins. Florida's electorate has delivered Republican victories in every gubernatorial race since 1998, reinforced by recent statewide results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Likely Republican. On the Democratic side, former U.S. Representative David Jolly has emerged as the frontrunner but trails significantly in head-to-head general election surveys. These structural factors and primary dynamics underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 82.5% implied probability versus 18% for a Democrat.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$35,007结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term limits bar incumbent Ron DeSantis from seeking a third consecutive term, with the November 3 general election following the August 18 primary. Republican Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the GOP primary, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30 points or more over rivals such as Jay Collins. Florida's electorate has delivered Republican victories in every gubernatorial race since 1998, reinforced by recent statewide results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Solid or Likely Republican. On the Democratic side, former U.S. Representative David Jolly has emerged as the frontrunner but trails significantly in head-to-head general election surveys. These structural factors and primary dynamics underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 82.5% implied probability versus 18% for a Democrat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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