The fragile post-October 2025 ceasefire in Gaza, overseen by the U.S.-led Board of Peace under UN Security Council Resolution 2803, has produced no foreign police or military deployments despite earlier pledges from nations including Indonesia, Morocco, Albania, Kazakhstan, and Kosovo for a 32,000-strong International Stabilization Force. Implementation remains stalled over Hamas disarmament sequencing, Israeli demands for verified weapons surrender before aid expansion or full withdrawal, and Palestinian rejection of foreign troops without a clear political horizon toward self-determination. Periodic truce violations, including recent strikes and aid worker casualties, have prompted Israeli warnings of resumed operations while Cairo-mediated talks continue without breakthroughs. These barriers have kept trader consensus on qualifying foreign intervention by June 30 at low single digits, with resolution hinging on verifiable ground operations before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$613,273 交易量

6月30日
14%
$613,273 交易量

6月30日
14%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The fragile post-October 2025 ceasefire in Gaza, overseen by the U.S.-led Board of Peace under UN Security Council Resolution 2803, has produced no foreign police or military deployments despite earlier pledges from nations including Indonesia, Morocco, Albania, Kazakhstan, and Kosovo for a 32,000-strong International Stabilization Force. Implementation remains stalled over Hamas disarmament sequencing, Israeli demands for verified weapons surrender before aid expansion or full withdrawal, and Palestinian rejection of foreign troops without a clear political horizon toward self-determination. Periodic truce violations, including recent strikes and aid worker casualties, have prompted Israeli warnings of resumed operations while Cairo-mediated talks continue without breakthroughs. These barriers have kept trader consensus on qualifying foreign intervention by June 30 at low single digits, with resolution hinging on verifiable ground operations before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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