The proposed 2026 United Left primary, set for October 11 to choose a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election, draws participation mainly from smaller groups such as L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout!, while the Socialist Party, La France Insoumise, and Place Publique have declined involvement from the outset. Internal Socialist divisions and local election outcomes earlier in 2026 have further highlighted fragmentation across the broader left, limiting the event's scope and viability as a unifying mechanism. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers through elevated implied probability on cancellation. A reversal would require coordinated shifts in party positions or formal expansions of the participant list before the scheduled date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于已取消 92.2%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,736 交易量
$202,736 交易量
2026-10-11
已取消
92%
François Ruffin
1%
Marine Tondelier
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
<1%
已取消 92.2%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,736 交易量
$202,736 交易量
2026-10-11
已取消
$67,262 交易量
92%
François Ruffin
$31,112 交易量
1%
Marine Tondelier
$49,561 交易量
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,357 交易量
1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 交易量
<1%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
$4,216 交易量
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The proposed 2026 United Left primary, set for October 11 to choose a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election, draws participation mainly from smaller groups such as L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout!, while the Socialist Party, La France Insoumise, and Place Publique have declined involvement from the outset. Internal Socialist divisions and local election outcomes earlier in 2026 have further highlighted fragmentation across the broader left, limiting the event's scope and viability as a unifying mechanism. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers through elevated implied probability on cancellation. A reversal would require coordinated shifts in party positions or formal expansions of the participant list before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
交易量
$202,736结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The proposed 2026 United Left primary, set for October 11 to choose a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election, draws participation mainly from smaller groups such as L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout!, while the Socialist Party, La France Insoumise, and Place Publique have declined involvement from the outset. Internal Socialist divisions and local election outcomes earlier in 2026 have further highlighted fragmentation across the broader left, limiting the event's scope and viability as a unifying mechanism. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers through elevated implied probability on cancellation. A reversal would require coordinated shifts in party positions or formal expansions of the participant list before the scheduled date.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$202,736结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The proposed 2026 United Left primary, set for October 11 to choose a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election, draws participation mainly from smaller groups such as L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout!, while the Socialist Party, La France Insoumise, and Place Publique have declined involvement from the outset. Internal Socialist divisions and local election outcomes earlier in 2026 have further highlighted fragmentation across the broader left, limiting the event's scope and viability as a unifying mechanism. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers through elevated implied probability on cancellation. A reversal would require coordinated shifts in party positions or formal expansions of the participant list before the scheduled date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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