Trader consensus on the France United Left primary, scheduled for October 11, 2026, to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate from parties including Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!, prices cancellation at 53.5% following Boris Vallaud's May 8 resignation as Socialist parliamentary leader, which fractured the Parti Socialiste and diminished prospects for its participation—already conditional on March municipal election results that exposed alliance tensions. Marine Tondelier holds 28.5% as the Ecologists' designated nominee with 86% internal support and co-initiator status, ahead of François Ruffin's 8.5% backed by Debout!. Persistent divisions, including non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique, plus the French Communist Party's independent path ahead of its July congress, underscore uncertainty in coalition negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于已取消 53%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 9%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪 1.0%
$50,996 交易量
$50,996 交易量
2026-10-11
已取消
53%
Marine Tondelier
29%
François Ruffin
9%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
已取消 53%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 9%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪 1.0%
$50,996 交易量
$50,996 交易量
2026-10-11
已取消
$8,180 交易量
53%
Marine Tondelier
$26,473 交易量
29%
François Ruffin
$10,938 交易量
9%
本杰明·卢卡斯-伦迪
$67 交易量
1%
Lydie Massard
$1,460 交易量
<1%
Clémentine Autain
$3,877 交易量
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the France United Left primary, scheduled for October 11, 2026, to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate from parties including Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!, prices cancellation at 53.5% following Boris Vallaud's May 8 resignation as Socialist parliamentary leader, which fractured the Parti Socialiste and diminished prospects for its participation—already conditional on March municipal election results that exposed alliance tensions. Marine Tondelier holds 28.5% as the Ecologists' designated nominee with 86% internal support and co-initiator status, ahead of François Ruffin's 8.5% backed by Debout!. Persistent divisions, including non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique, plus the French Communist Party's independent path ahead of its July congress, underscore uncertainty in coalition negotiations.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
交易量
$50,996结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the France United Left primary, scheduled for October 11, 2026, to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate from parties including Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!, prices cancellation at 53.5% following Boris Vallaud's May 8 resignation as Socialist parliamentary leader, which fractured the Parti Socialiste and diminished prospects for its participation—already conditional on March municipal election results that exposed alliance tensions. Marine Tondelier holds 28.5% as the Ecologists' designated nominee with 86% internal support and co-initiator status, ahead of François Ruffin's 8.5% backed by Debout!. Persistent divisions, including non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique, plus the French Communist Party's independent path ahead of its July congress, underscore uncertainty in coalition negotiations.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$50,996结束日期
2026-10-11市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the France United Left primary, scheduled for October 11, 2026, to select a joint 2027 presidential candidate from parties including Les Écologistes, L'Après, and Debout!, prices cancellation at 53.5% following Boris Vallaud's May 8 resignation as Socialist parliamentary leader, which fractured the Parti Socialiste and diminished prospects for its participation—already conditional on March municipal election results that exposed alliance tensions. Marine Tondelier holds 28.5% as the Ecologists' designated nominee with 86% internal support and co-initiator status, ahead of François Ruffin's 8.5% backed by Debout!. Persistent divisions, including non-participation by La France Insoumise and Place Publique, plus the French Communist Party's independent path ahead of its July congress, underscore uncertainty in coalition negotiations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题