France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has gained relative stability after surviving no-confidence votes and passing the delayed 2026 budget in early February, easing the political crisis stemming from the hung National Assembly since Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections. No dissolution or new legislative election declaration has occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus reflecting low implied probabilities for a snap call by June 30, 2026, amid ongoing coalition negotiations and opposition threats from Rassemblement National. Upcoming Senate elections in September 2026 and the 2027 presidential race loom as key catalysts, but constitutional limits on dissolutions and recent legislative wins reduce near-term snap election risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,060,006 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
1%
$1,060,006 交易量
2026年6月30日
$78,372 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has gained relative stability after surviving no-confidence votes and passing the delayed 2026 budget in early February, easing the political crisis stemming from the hung National Assembly since Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections. No dissolution or new legislative election declaration has occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus reflecting low implied probabilities for a snap call by June 30, 2026, amid ongoing coalition negotiations and opposition threats from Rassemblement National. Upcoming Senate elections in September 2026 and the 2027 presidential race loom as key catalysts, but constitutional limits on dissolutions and recent legislative wins reduce near-term snap election risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
交易量
$1,060,006结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has gained relative stability after surviving no-confidence votes and passing the delayed 2026 budget in early February, easing the political crisis stemming from the hung National Assembly since Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections. No dissolution or new legislative election declaration has occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus reflecting low implied probabilities for a snap call by June 30, 2026, amid ongoing coalition negotiations and opposition threats from Rassemblement National. Upcoming Senate elections in September 2026 and the 2027 presidential race loom as key catalysts, but constitutional limits on dissolutions and recent legislative wins reduce near-term snap election risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,060,006结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has gained relative stability after surviving no-confidence votes and passing the delayed 2026 budget in early February, easing the political crisis stemming from the hung National Assembly since Macron's 2024 snap legislative elections. No dissolution or new legislative election declaration has occurred in the past 30 days, with trader consensus reflecting low implied probabilities for a snap call by June 30, 2026, amid ongoing coalition negotiations and opposition threats from Rassemblement National. Upcoming Senate elections in September 2026 and the 2027 presidential race loom as key catalysts, but constitutional limits on dissolutions and recent legislative wins reduce near-term snap election risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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