The open GA-01 House seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Buddy Carter's 2025 Senate bid, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 81% implied probability, reflecting the district's entrenched R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of double-digit GOP victories, including Carter's 62%-38% 2024 win. With May 19 primaries four days away, six Republicans—including frontrunner Jim Kingston, son of ex-Rep. Jack Kingston with over $1.8 million raised—compete in a strong field, while eight Democrats fragment votes in a crowded primary lacking a clear leader. Recent candidate forums and debates in late April underscore GOP organizational edges, aligning with forecasters' unanimous Solid Republican ratings ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,085 交易量
$10,085 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
16%
$10,085 交易量
$10,085 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,366 交易量
81%
民主党
$2,719 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open GA-01 House seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Buddy Carter's 2025 Senate bid, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 81% implied probability, reflecting the district's entrenched R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of double-digit GOP victories, including Carter's 62%-38% 2024 win. With May 19 primaries four days away, six Republicans—including frontrunner Jim Kingston, son of ex-Rep. Jack Kingston with over $1.8 million raised—compete in a strong field, while eight Democrats fragment votes in a crowded primary lacking a clear leader. Recent candidate forums and debates in late April underscore GOP organizational edges, aligning with forecasters' unanimous Solid Republican ratings ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$10,085结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open GA-01 House seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Buddy Carter's 2025 Senate bid, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 81% implied probability, reflecting the district's entrenched R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of double-digit GOP victories, including Carter's 62%-38% 2024 win. With May 19 primaries four days away, six Republicans—including frontrunner Jim Kingston, son of ex-Rep. Jack Kingston with over $1.8 million raised—compete in a strong field, while eight Democrats fragment votes in a crowded primary lacking a clear leader. Recent candidate forums and debates in late April underscore GOP organizational edges, aligning with forecasters' unanimous Solid Republican ratings ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,085结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open GA-01 House seat, vacated by incumbent Republican Buddy Carter's 2025 Senate bid, drives trader consensus toward the Republican Party at 81% implied probability, reflecting the district's entrenched R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of double-digit GOP victories, including Carter's 62%-38% 2024 win. With May 19 primaries four days away, six Republicans—including frontrunner Jim Kingston, son of ex-Rep. Jack Kingston with over $1.8 million raised—compete in a strong field, while eight Democrats fragment votes in a crowded primary lacking a clear leader. Recent candidate forums and debates in late April underscore GOP organizational edges, aligning with forecasters' unanimous Solid Republican ratings ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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