**Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis and the New Democracy government have consistently ruled out a snap parliamentary election in 2026, publicly committing instead to completing the full four-year term ending in 2027.** This stance, reiterated at the party congress in May 2026, emphasizes political stability amid regional geopolitical tensions and frames early voting as unnecessary “experimentation.” Recent polling shows New Democracy holding a lead near 30 percent, sufficient to project a competitive but not urgent path to another majority without an immediate vote. Speculation about a possible fall 2026 contest—driven by opposition fragmentation and lingering effects from past scandals—has surfaced periodically but lacks official backing or a triggering crisis. With no scheduled dissolution, no-confidence motion, or acute political impasse evident as of mid-August 2026, traders price the absence of a snap election at 81 percent, reflecting the government’s repeated signals and the absence of any forcing event within the calendar year.