Greenland held its most recent general election in March 2025, installing a coalition government led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats with a clear parliamentary majority in the Inatsisartut. As of September 2026, that administration remains in place and has concentrated on finalizing a trilateral security agreement with Denmark and the United States that preserves Greenlandic sovereignty while expanding Arctic defense cooperation. No parliamentary disputes, coalition fractures, or official statements have emerged calling for dissolution of the current term, which runs until 2029. Traders therefore assign an 89.5 percent probability against any snap election being called before year-end, reflecting the absence of the political triggers—such as lost confidence votes or sudden leadership challenges—that historically precipitate early polls in the self-governing territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
11% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
11% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland held its most recent general election in March 2025, installing a coalition government led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats with a clear parliamentary majority in the Inatsisartut. As of September 2026, that administration remains in place and has concentrated on finalizing a trilateral security agreement with Denmark and the United States that preserves Greenlandic sovereignty while expanding Arctic defense cooperation. No parliamentary disputes, coalition fractures, or official statements have emerged calling for dissolution of the current term, which runs until 2029. Traders therefore assign an 89.5 percent probability against any snap election being called before year-end, reflecting the absence of the political triggers—such as lost confidence votes or sudden leadership challenges—that historically precipitate early polls in the self-governing territory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
交易量
$3,162结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greenland held its most recent general election in March 2025, installing a coalition government led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats with a clear parliamentary majority in the Inatsisartut. As of September 2026, that administration remains in place and has concentrated on finalizing a trilateral security agreement with Denmark and the United States that preserves Greenlandic sovereignty while expanding Arctic defense cooperation. No parliamentary disputes, coalition fractures, or official statements have emerged calling for dissolution of the current term, which runs until 2029. Traders therefore assign an 89.5 percent probability against any snap election being called before year-end, reflecting the absence of the political triggers—such as lost confidence votes or sudden leadership challenges—that historically precipitate early polls in the self-governing territory.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Greenland between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Inatsisartut, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Inatsisartut prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term.
An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the collapse of the governing coalition will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Greenland and the Inatsisartut; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,162结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 7:45 PM ETGreenland held its most recent general election in March 2025, installing a coalition government led by Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the Democrats with a clear parliamentary majority in the Inatsisartut. As of September 2026, that administration remains in place and has concentrated on finalizing a trilateral security agreement with Denmark and the United States that preserves Greenlandic sovereignty while expanding Arctic defense cooperation. No parliamentary disputes, coalition fractures, or official statements have emerged calling for dissolution of the current term, which runs until 2029. Traders therefore assign an 89.5 percent probability against any snap election being called before year-end, reflecting the absence of the political triggers—such as lost confidence votes or sudden leadership challenges—that historically precipitate early polls in the self-governing territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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