Recent arrests of Greta Thunberg, including detention by UK police in December 2025 under the Terrorism Act during a pro-Palestine Action demonstration and by German authorities in July 2026 at a Berlin protest blocking access to a defense manufacturer, have shaped trader views on future outcomes. Her continued participation in climate and Gaza-related activism, including flotilla efforts leading to Israeli custody in 2025, sustains visibility and protest frequency. Markets reflect ongoing demonstrations that often result in law enforcement contact, with resolution hinging on verifiable detentions by specified dates or entities. Scheduled actions or escalations in related campaigns could influence probabilities through mid-2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$72,370 交易量

12月31日
53%
$72,370 交易量

12月31日
53%
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 22, 2026, 6:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent arrests of Greta Thunberg, including detention by UK police in December 2025 under the Terrorism Act during a pro-Palestine Action demonstration and by German authorities in July 2026 at a Berlin protest blocking access to a defense manufacturer, have shaped trader views on future outcomes. Her continued participation in climate and Gaza-related activism, including flotilla efforts leading to Israeli custody in 2025, sustains visibility and protest frequency. Markets reflect ongoing demonstrations that often result in law enforcement contact, with resolution hinging on verifiable detentions by specified dates or entities. Scheduled actions or escalations in related campaigns could influence probabilities through mid-2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题