Greta Thunberg’s pattern of participation in climate and pro-Palestine demonstrations has produced repeated encounters with law enforcement across multiple countries, shaping trader assessments of the likelihood of additional detentions by the June 30, 2026 resolution date. Key drivers include her December 2025 arrest in London under the UK Terrorism Act for displaying a placard supporting the proscribed group Palestine Action, prior detentions during 2025 Gaza flotilla attempts intercepted by Israeli authorities, and a July 2026 sit-in in Berlin targeting defense industry sites. A September 2026 London court acquittal on an earlier public-order charge highlighted judicial scrutiny of protest policing but did not alter her ongoing activist schedule. Traders weigh her consistent attendance at high-visibility actions against the variable enforcement priorities of different jurisdictions when evaluating implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Greta Thunberg被……逮捕？
Greta Thunberg被……逮捕？
$72,881 交易量
2026-06-29
12月31日
83%
$72,881 交易量
12月31日
$987 交易量
83%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greta Thunberg’s pattern of participation in climate and pro-Palestine demonstrations has produced repeated encounters with law enforcement across multiple countries, shaping trader assessments of the likelihood of additional detentions by the June 30, 2026 resolution date. Key drivers include her December 2025 arrest in London under the UK Terrorism Act for displaying a placard supporting the proscribed group Palestine Action, prior detentions during 2025 Gaza flotilla attempts intercepted by Israeli authorities, and a July 2026 sit-in in Berlin targeting defense industry sites. A September 2026 London court acquittal on an earlier public-order charge highlighted judicial scrutiny of protest policing but did not alter her ongoing activist schedule. Traders weigh her consistent attendance at high-visibility actions against the variable enforcement priorities of different jurisdictions when evaluating implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 6:55 PM ET
交易量
$72,881结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Greta Thunberg’s pattern of participation in climate and pro-Palestine demonstrations has produced repeated encounters with law enforcement across multiple countries, shaping trader assessments of the likelihood of additional detentions by the June 30, 2026 resolution date. Key drivers include her December 2025 arrest in London under the UK Terrorism Act for displaying a placard supporting the proscribed group Palestine Action, prior detentions during 2025 Gaza flotilla attempts intercepted by Israeli authorities, and a July 2026 sit-in in Berlin targeting defense industry sites. A September 2026 London court acquittal on an earlier public-order charge highlighted judicial scrutiny of protest policing but did not alter her ongoing activist schedule. Traders weigh her consistent attendance at high-visibility actions against the variable enforcement priorities of different jurisdictions when evaluating implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$72,881结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 6:55 PM ETGreta Thunberg’s pattern of participation in climate and pro-Palestine demonstrations has produced repeated encounters with law enforcement across multiple countries, shaping trader assessments of the likelihood of additional detentions by the June 30, 2026 resolution date. Key drivers include her December 2025 arrest in London under the UK Terrorism Act for displaying a placard supporting the proscribed group Palestine Action, prior detentions during 2025 Gaza flotilla attempts intercepted by Israeli authorities, and a July 2026 sit-in in Berlin targeting defense industry sites. A September 2026 London court acquittal on an earlier public-order charge highlighted judicial scrutiny of protest policing but did not alter her ongoing activist schedule. Traders weigh her consistent attendance at high-visibility actions against the variable enforcement priorities of different jurisdictions when evaluating implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题