Skip to main content
icon for 几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者

几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者

icon for 几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者

几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者

Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 57.9%

FLING 6.2%

PS 5.7%

FREPASNA 4.0%

Polymarket

$140,659 交易量

Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 57.9%

FLING 6.2%

PS 5.7%

FREPASNA 4.0%

Polymarket

$140,659 交易量

Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”

$39,658 交易量

35%

FLING

$11,905 交易量

6%

PS

$23,568 交易量

6%

FREPASNA

$23,723 交易量

4%

MUNDO-GB

$21,373 交易量

3%

PT

$20,432 交易量

10%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The transitional authorities in Guinea-Bissau have scheduled the next legislative election for December 6, 2026, following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a military-led interim government under ECOWAS-mediated pressure to restore constitutional order. Trader consensus places the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” coalition in the lead due to its commanding performance in the disrupted 2025 parliamentary vote, where it secured nearly half the support amid a fragmented field. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail as historical also-rans with limited recent visibility. No new polling data or major campaign shifts have emerged in the past month, leaving probabilities anchored to pre-coup patterns and the uncertain timeline of institutional reforms ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$140,659
结束日期
2025-11-23
市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The transitional authorities in Guinea-Bissau have scheduled the next legislative election for December 6, 2026, following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a military-led interim government under ECOWAS-mediated pressure to restore constitutional order. Trader consensus places the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” coalition in the lead due to its commanding performance in the disrupted 2025 parliamentary vote, where it secured nearly half the support amid a fragmented field. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail as historical also-rans with limited recent visibility. No new polling data or major campaign shifts have emerged in the past month, leaving probabilities anchored to pre-coup patterns and the uncertain timeline of institutional reforms ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$140,659
结束日期
2025-11-23
市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”",概率为 35%,其次是"PT",概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 35¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 35%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者"已产生 $140.7K 的总交易量(自Nov 7, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”",概率为 35%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 35%。紧随其后的结果是"PT",概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。