The tight contest for Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 National People’s Assembly election reflects a fragmented field under proportional representation, with no dominant party emerging after the 2025 coup annulled prior results and installed a military-led transition. Recent approval of a new constitution that shrinks parliament from 102 to 65 seats and redraws constituencies has introduced fresh uncertainty over seat allocation, while the main opposition PAIGC boycott of the August referendum and ongoing restrictions on party offices have limited organized challenges. FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” lead on trader pricing because of their visibility in the transitional process and prior coalitions, yet low individual shares for PT, FLING, PS and MUNDO-GB underscore the absence of clear frontrunners. Further separation could arise from final candidate lists, new alliances, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, or any shifts in military or international mediation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者
几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 14.4%
PT 6.6%
FLING 4.3%
PS 3.1%
$159,337 交易量
$159,337 交易量
2025-11-22
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
14%
PT
7%
FLING
4%
PS
3%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA
18%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 14.4%
PT 6.6%
FLING 4.3%
PS 3.1%
$159,337 交易量
$159,337 交易量
2025-11-22
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$48,626 交易量
14%
PT
$21,911 交易量
7%
FLING
$12,987 交易量
4%
PS
$26,160 交易量
3%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 交易量
3%
FREPASNA
$26,769 交易量
18%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The tight contest for Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 National People’s Assembly election reflects a fragmented field under proportional representation, with no dominant party emerging after the 2025 coup annulled prior results and installed a military-led transition. Recent approval of a new constitution that shrinks parliament from 102 to 65 seats and redraws constituencies has introduced fresh uncertainty over seat allocation, while the main opposition PAIGC boycott of the August referendum and ongoing restrictions on party offices have limited organized challenges. FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” lead on trader pricing because of their visibility in the transitional process and prior coalitions, yet low individual shares for PT, FLING, PS and MUNDO-GB underscore the absence of clear frontrunners. Further separation could arise from final candidate lists, new alliances, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, or any shifts in military or international mediation before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
市场开放时间： Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
交易量
$159,337结束日期
2025-11-23市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The tight contest for Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 National People’s Assembly election reflects a fragmented field under proportional representation, with no dominant party emerging after the 2025 coup annulled prior results and installed a military-led transition. Recent approval of a new constitution that shrinks parliament from 102 to 65 seats and redraws constituencies has introduced fresh uncertainty over seat allocation, while the main opposition PAIGC boycott of the August referendum and ongoing restrictions on party offices have limited organized challenges. FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” lead on trader pricing because of their visibility in the transitional process and prior coalitions, yet low individual shares for PT, FLING, PS and MUNDO-GB underscore the absence of clear frontrunners. Further separation could arise from final candidate lists, new alliances, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, or any shifts in military or international mediation before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$159,337结束日期
2025-11-23市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETThe tight contest for Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 National People’s Assembly election reflects a fragmented field under proportional representation, with no dominant party emerging after the 2025 coup annulled prior results and installed a military-led transition. Recent approval of a new constitution that shrinks parliament from 102 to 65 seats and redraws constituencies has introduced fresh uncertainty over seat allocation, while the main opposition PAIGC boycott of the August referendum and ongoing restrictions on party offices have limited organized challenges. FREPASNA and the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” lead on trader pricing because of their visibility in the transitional process and prior coalitions, yet low individual shares for PT, FLING, PS and MUNDO-GB underscore the absence of clear frontrunners. Further separation could arise from final candidate lists, new alliances, turnout patterns in the reduced constituencies, or any shifts in military or international mediation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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