The transitional authorities in Guinea-Bissau have scheduled the next legislative election for December 6, 2026, following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a military-led interim government under ECOWAS-mediated pressure to restore constitutional order. Trader consensus places the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” coalition in the lead due to its commanding performance in the disrupted 2025 parliamentary vote, where it secured nearly half the support amid a fragmented field. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail as historical also-rans with limited recent visibility. No new polling data or major campaign shifts have emerged in the past month, leaving probabilities anchored to pre-coup patterns and the uncertain timeline of institutional reforms ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 57.9%
FLING 6.2%
PS 5.7%
FREPASNA 4.0%
$140,659 交易量
$140,659 交易量
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
35%
FLING
6%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
PT
10%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 57.9%
FLING 6.2%
PS 5.7%
FREPASNA 4.0%
$140,659 交易量
$140,659 交易量
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
35%
FLING
6%
PS
6%
FREPASNA
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
PT
10%
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
市场开放时间: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The transitional authorities in Guinea-Bissau have scheduled the next legislative election for December 6, 2026, following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a military-led interim government under ECOWAS-mediated pressure to restore constitutional order. Trader consensus places the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” coalition in the lead due to its commanding performance in the disrupted 2025 parliamentary vote, where it secured nearly half the support amid a fragmented field. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail as historical also-rans with limited recent visibility. No new polling data or major campaign shifts have emerged in the past month, leaving probabilities anchored to pre-coup patterns and the uncertain timeline of institutional reforms ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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