Guinea-Bissau’s legislative election on 6 December 2026 occurs under a transitional military government following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results. A August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70 percent of voters, expanded presidential authority over cabinet appointments and parliament dissolution while shrinking the assembly from 102 to 65 seats. The resulting field features numerous smaller parties and coalitions, including FREPASNA, the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” PT, FLING, PS, and MUNDO-GB, none of which commands broad national support amid ongoing institutional flux. This fragmentation and the absence of established frontrunners underpin the dispersed trader pricing across listed outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于几内亚比绍全国人民议会选举获胜者
FREPASNA 22.6%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 12.3%
PT 5.9%
FLING 4.1%
$159,112 交易量
$159,112 交易量
FREPASNA
19%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
12%
PT
6%
FLING
4%
PS
3%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA 22.6%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 12.3%
PT 5.9%
FLING 4.1%
$159,112 交易量
$159,112 交易量
FREPASNA
19%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
12%
PT
6%
FLING
4%
PS
3%
MUNDO-GB
3%
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
市场开放时间: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Guinea-Bissau’s legislative election on 6 December 2026 occurs under a transitional military government following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results. A August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70 percent of voters, expanded presidential authority over cabinet appointments and parliament dissolution while shrinking the assembly from 102 to 65 seats. The resulting field features numerous smaller parties and coalitions, including FREPASNA, the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné,” PT, FLING, PS, and MUNDO-GB, none of which commands broad national support amid ongoing institutional flux. This fragmentation and the absence of established frontrunners underpin the dispersed trader pricing across listed outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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