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icon for 几内亚比绍总统选举

几内亚比绍总统选举

icon for 几内亚比绍总统选举

几内亚比绍总统选举

分组项标题：费尔南多·迪亚斯·达·科斯塔 10.9%

乌马罗·西索科·恩巴洛 4.9%

西加·巴蒂斯塔 4.2%

Baciro Djá 3.6%

Polymarket

$333,808 交易量

分组项标题：费尔南多·迪亚斯·达·科斯塔 10.9%

乌马罗·西索科·恩巴洛 4.9%

西加·巴蒂斯塔 4.2%

Baciro Djá 3.6%

Polymarket

$333,808 交易量

分组项标题：费尔南多·迪亚斯·达·科斯塔

$56,896 交易量

11%

乌马罗·西索科·恩巴洛

$89,847 交易量

5%

西加·巴蒂斯塔

$24,387 交易量

11%

Baciro Djá

$14,532 交易量

4%

João de Deus Mendes

$17,085 交易量

3%

Honório Augusto Lopes

$18,448 交易量

3%

加布里埃尔·费尔南多·印迪

$19,362 交易量

3%

马里奥·达席尔瓦·儒尼奥

$18,326 交易量

2%

赫库拉诺·阿曼多·贝奎因萨

$16,200 交易量

2%

Mamadu Iaia Djaló

$19,837 交易量

1%

若昂·贝尔纳多·维埃拉

$16,711 交易量

1%

若泽·马里奥·瓦斯

$22,177 交易量

1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 presidential election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition following the military’s November 2025 intervention that halted vote tabulation in the prior contest between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Both sides had claimed victory before official results could be certified, after which the junta installed a transitional government under Horta Inta-A Na Man and scheduled new polls for December. The fragmented field reflects ongoing restrictions on major parties such as PAIGC, unresolved detentions of opposition figures, and the absence of consolidated polling data. Trader consensus remains dispersed because no candidate has secured broad alliances or clear momentum under the transitional charter, while ECOWAS and AU engagement continues to emphasize inclusive preparations ahead of the December vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$333,808
结束日期
2025-11-23
市场开放时间
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 presidential election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition following the military’s November 2025 intervention that halted vote tabulation in the prior contest between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Both sides had claimed victory before official results could be certified, after which the junta installed a transitional government under Horta Inta-A Na Man and scheduled new polls for December. The fragmented field reflects ongoing restrictions on major parties such as PAIGC, unresolved detentions of opposition figures, and the absence of consolidated polling data. Trader consensus remains dispersed because no candidate has secured broad alliances or clear momentum under the transitional charter, while ECOWAS and AU engagement continues to emphasize inclusive preparations ahead of the December vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$333,808
结束日期
2025-11-23
市场开放时间
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

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警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"几内亚比绍总统选举"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"分组项标题：费尔南多·迪亚斯·达·科斯塔"，概率为 11%，其次是"西加·巴蒂斯塔"，概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"几内亚比绍总统选举"已产生 $333.8K 的总交易量（自Nov 6, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"几内亚比绍总统选举"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"几内亚比绍总统选举"的当前领先者是"分组项标题：费尔南多·迪亚斯·达·科斯塔"，概率为 11%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。紧随其后的结果是"西加·巴蒂斯塔"，概率为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"几内亚比绍总统选举"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。