Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, with "No" at a 92% implied probability, reflecting the virus's inherent zoonotic epidemiology requiring direct exposure to infected rodent excreta rather than efficient human-to-human transmission. CDC and WHO data show only sporadic U.S. cases (20–40 annually for hantavirus pulmonary syndrome) and globally rare clusters, like the recent May 2026 Andes virus outbreak on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—eight cases (six confirmed), three deaths, now contained with low public health risk per official assessments. While Andes virus has enabled limited person-to-person spread in past South American incidents, no evidence of mutation or sustained chains exists; escalation would demand unprecedented viral adaptation or massive rodent infestations, unlikely given surveillance. Watch WHO/CDC updates through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年汉坦病毒大流行？
2026年汉坦病毒大流行？
是
$9,178,011 交易量
$9,178,011 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$9,178,011 交易量
$9,178,011 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, with "No" at a 92% implied probability, reflecting the virus's inherent zoonotic epidemiology requiring direct exposure to infected rodent excreta rather than efficient human-to-human transmission. CDC and WHO data show only sporadic U.S. cases (20–40 annually for hantavirus pulmonary syndrome) and globally rare clusters, like the recent May 2026 Andes virus outbreak on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—eight cases (six confirmed), three deaths, now contained with low public health risk per official assessments. While Andes virus has enabled limited person-to-person spread in past South American incidents, no evidence of mutation or sustained chains exists; escalation would demand unprecedented viral adaptation or massive rodent infestations, unlikely given surveillance. Watch WHO/CDC updates through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
交易量
$9,178,011结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, with "No" at a 92% implied probability, reflecting the virus's inherent zoonotic epidemiology requiring direct exposure to infected rodent excreta rather than efficient human-to-human transmission. CDC and WHO data show only sporadic U.S. cases (20–40 annually for hantavirus pulmonary syndrome) and globally rare clusters, like the recent May 2026 Andes virus outbreak on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—eight cases (six confirmed), three deaths, now contained with low public health risk per official assessments. While Andes virus has enabled limited person-to-person spread in past South American incidents, no evidence of mutation or sustained chains exists; escalation would demand unprecedented viral adaptation or massive rodent infestations, unlikely given surveillance. Watch WHO/CDC updates through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,181,039结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, with "No" at a 92% implied probability, reflecting the virus's inherent zoonotic epidemiology requiring direct exposure to infected rodent excreta rather than efficient human-to-human transmission. CDC and WHO data show only sporadic U.S. cases (20–40 annually for hantavirus pulmonary syndrome) and globally rare clusters, like the recent May 2026 Andes virus outbreak on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—eight cases (six confirmed), three deaths, now contained with low public health risk per official assessments. While Andes virus has enabled limited person-to-person spread in past South American incidents, no evidence of mutation or sustained chains exists; escalation would demand unprecedented viral adaptation or massive rodent infestations, unlikely given surveillance. Watch WHO/CDC updates through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题