NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center forecasts G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm levels as likely on October 2 due to a glancing blow from the September 28 coronal mass ejection, with a peak three-hour Kp of 4.67 during 15-18 UTC. Current conditions remain quiet, with observed Kp values below 2 and very low solar activity overall. Model ensembles indicate the CME’s flank will likely produce unsettled to active conditions but limit intensification, keeping maximum Kp below G2 thresholds in most runs. This scientific consensus on a modest disturbance supports trader emphasis on Below G1 or G1 outcomes while assigning low implied probability to stronger events. Updated forecasts and real-time solar wind data from DSCOVR will refine arrival timing and strength ahead of resolution.