The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds’ decision not to seek re-election and her August 2026 departure, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents under Tasmania’s single transferable vote system. Trader prices cluster tightly among leading contenders including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta, Louise Bloomfield and John Kelly because no candidate holds a dominant base and preferences are expected to decide the outcome. Recent attention has centered on the acting arrangements for Deputy Lord Mayor Zelinda Sherlock, questions over allowances during the transition, and the absence of fresh polling since an earlier EMRS survey that included Reynolds. With voting by post in October, minor shifts in preference flows or late endorsements could quickly separate the pack in this low-profile, multi-candidate race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于比尔·哈维 41%
Marti Zucco 41%
Ryan Posselt 40%
迈克·达塔 40%

比尔·哈维
41%

Marti Zucco
41%

Ryan Posselt
40%

迈克·达塔
40%

Louise Bloomfield
38%

哈维·伦农
38%

约翰·凯利
20%
比尔·哈维 41%
Marti Zucco 41%
Ryan Posselt 40%
迈克·达塔 40%

比尔·哈维
41%

Marti Zucco
41%

Ryan Posselt
40%

迈克·达塔
40%

Louise Bloomfield
38%

哈维·伦农
38%

约翰·凯利
20%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds’ decision not to seek re-election and her August 2026 departure, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents under Tasmania’s single transferable vote system. Trader prices cluster tightly among leading contenders including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta, Louise Bloomfield and John Kelly because no candidate holds a dominant base and preferences are expected to decide the outcome. Recent attention has centered on the acting arrangements for Deputy Lord Mayor Zelinda Sherlock, questions over allowances during the transition, and the absence of fresh polling since an earlier EMRS survey that included Reynolds. With voting by post in October, minor shifts in preference flows or late endorsements could quickly separate the pack in this low-profile, multi-candidate race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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