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icon for 霍巴特市长选举获胜者

霍巴特市长选举获胜者

icon for 霍巴特市长选举获胜者

霍巴特市长选举获胜者

比尔·哈维 41%

Marti Zucco 41%

Ryan Posselt 40%

迈克·达塔 40%

Polymarket
最新

比尔·哈维 41%

Marti Zucco 41%

Ryan Posselt 40%

迈克·达塔 40%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 比尔·哈维

比尔·哈维

$0 交易量

41%

icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$0 交易量

41%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$0 交易量

40%

icon for 迈克·达塔

迈克·达塔

$0 交易量

40%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$0 交易量

38%

icon for 哈维·伦农

哈维·伦农

$0 交易量

38%

icon for 约翰·凯利

约翰·凯利

$0 交易量

20%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds’ decision not to seek re-election and her August 2026 departure, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents under Tasmania’s single transferable vote system. Trader prices cluster tightly among leading contenders including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta, Louise Bloomfield and John Kelly because no candidate holds a dominant base and preferences are expected to decide the outcome. Recent attention has centered on the acting arrangements for Deputy Lord Mayor Zelinda Sherlock, questions over allowances during the transition, and the absence of fresh polling since an earlier EMRS survey that included Reynolds. With voting by post in October, minor shifts in preference flows or late endorsements could quickly separate the pack in this low-profile, multi-candidate race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-28
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open Hobart Lord Mayor contest, following Anna Reynolds’ decision not to seek re-election and her August 2026 departure, has produced a crowded field of sitting councillors and independents under Tasmania’s single transferable vote system. Trader prices cluster tightly among leading contenders including Marti Zucco, Ryan Posselt, Bill Harvey, Mike Dutta, Louise Bloomfield and John Kelly because no candidate holds a dominant base and preferences are expected to decide the outcome. Recent attention has centered on the acting arrangements for Deputy Lord Mayor Zelinda Sherlock, questions over allowances during the transition, and the absence of fresh polling since an earlier EMRS survey that included Reynolds. With voting by post in October, minor shifts in preference flows or late endorsements could quickly separate the pack in this low-profile, multi-candidate race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-28
市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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常见问题

"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"比尔·哈维",概率为 41%,其次是"Marti Zucco",概率为 41%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 41¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 41%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 3, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"比尔·哈维",概率为 41%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 41%。紧随其后的结果是"Marti Zucco",概率为 41%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"霍巴特市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。