Alabama's congressional map for the 2026 elections, cleared by the Supreme Court in June after prior legal challenges, features only one majority-Black district and shifts the 2nd District to an R+7 partisan lean. This leaves the 7th District as the sole reliably Democratic seat held by incumbent Terri Sewell, while the other five districts remain strongly Republican. The 2nd District, now represented by Democrat Shomari Figures, rates as Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters despite some internal polling showing a narrow contest, reflecting the state's broader partisan baseline and limited crossover support. Traders price a single Democratic seat as the consensus outcome because structural changes from redistricting outweigh shorter-term factors that might otherwise allow retention of two seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1 71%
2 28%
0 3.1%
3+ <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
0
3%
1
71%
2
28%
3+
1%
1 71%
2 28%
0 3.1%
3+ <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
0
$591 交易量
3%
1
$1,938 交易量
71%
2
$3,917 交易量
28%
3+
$501 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Alabama in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Alabama's congressional map for the 2026 elections, cleared by the Supreme Court in June after prior legal challenges, features only one majority-Black district and shifts the 2nd District to an R+7 partisan lean. This leaves the 7th District as the sole reliably Democratic seat held by incumbent Terri Sewell, while the other five districts remain strongly Republican. The 2nd District, now represented by Democrat Shomari Figures, rates as Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters despite some internal polling showing a narrow contest, reflecting the state's broader partisan baseline and limited crossover support. Traders price a single Democratic seat as the consensus outcome because structural changes from redistricting outweigh shorter-term factors that might otherwise allow retention of two seats.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Alabama in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ET
交易量
$6,946结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Alabama in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Alabama's congressional map for the 2026 elections, cleared by the Supreme Court in June after prior legal challenges, features only one majority-Black district and shifts the 2nd District to an R+7 partisan lean. This leaves the 7th District as the sole reliably Democratic seat held by incumbent Terri Sewell, while the other five districts remain strongly Republican. The 2nd District, now represented by Democrat Shomari Figures, rates as Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters despite some internal polling showing a narrow contest, reflecting the state's broader partisan baseline and limited crossover support. Traders price a single Democratic seat as the consensus outcome because structural changes from redistricting outweigh shorter-term factors that might otherwise allow retention of two seats.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Alabama in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Alabama US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,946结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETAlabama's congressional map for the 2026 elections, cleared by the Supreme Court in June after prior legal challenges, features only one majority-Black district and shifts the 2nd District to an R+7 partisan lean. This leaves the 7th District as the sole reliably Democratic seat held by incumbent Terri Sewell, while the other five districts remain strongly Republican. The 2nd District, now represented by Democrat Shomari Figures, rates as Likely Republican by nonpartisan forecasters despite some internal polling showing a narrow contest, reflecting the state's broader partisan baseline and limited crossover support. Traders price a single Democratic seat as the consensus outcome because structural changes from redistricting outweigh shorter-term factors that might otherwise allow retention of two seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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