The new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026, projected by legislative leaders to produce a 24-4 Republican advantage, stands as the dominant factor behind trader pricing clustered around 6–10 Democratic seats. Court challenges to the map under the state constitution’s Fair Districts provisions remain unresolved and could alter district lines before November. Florida’s August 18 primaries, occurring in just days, will clarify candidate fields in the handful of districts Cook Political Report lists as competitive, including several currently held by Democrats. National midterm dynamics, with Democrats ahead on the generic ballot, introduce the main upside risk for gains beyond the map’s baseline, while the Republican structural tilt caps expectations and spreads probability across multiple outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7 28%
10 15%
6 15%
12+ 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于4个
8%
4
3%
5
8%
6
15%
7
28%
8
8%
9
8%
10
15%
11
14%
12+
15%
7 28%
10 15%
6 15%
12+ 15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于4个
$59 交易量
8%
4
$586 交易量
3%
5
$256 交易量
8%
6
$17 交易量
15%
7
$90 交易量
28%
8
$57 交易量
8%
9
$37 交易量
8%
10
$141 交易量
15%
11
$17 交易量
14%
12+
$17 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026, projected by legislative leaders to produce a 24-4 Republican advantage, stands as the dominant factor behind trader pricing clustered around 6–10 Democratic seats. Court challenges to the map under the state constitution’s Fair Districts provisions remain unresolved and could alter district lines before November. Florida’s August 18 primaries, occurring in just days, will clarify candidate fields in the handful of districts Cook Political Report lists as competitive, including several currently held by Democrats. National midterm dynamics, with Democrats ahead on the generic ballot, introduce the main upside risk for gains beyond the map’s baseline, while the Republican structural tilt caps expectations and spreads probability across multiple outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,277结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.The new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026, projected by legislative leaders to produce a 24-4 Republican advantage, stands as the dominant factor behind trader pricing clustered around 6–10 Democratic seats. Court challenges to the map under the state constitution’s Fair Districts provisions remain unresolved and could alter district lines before November. Florida’s August 18 primaries, occurring in just days, will clarify candidate fields in the handful of districts Cook Political Report lists as competitive, including several currently held by Democrats. National midterm dynamics, with Democrats ahead on the generic ballot, introduce the main upside risk for gains beyond the map’s baseline, while the Republican structural tilt caps expectations and spreads probability across multiple outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Florida in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Florida US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,277结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The new congressional map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis in May 2026, projected by legislative leaders to produce a 24-4 Republican advantage, stands as the dominant factor behind trader pricing clustered around 6–10 Democratic seats. Court challenges to the map under the state constitution’s Fair Districts provisions remain unresolved and could alter district lines before November. Florida’s August 18 primaries, occurring in just days, will clarify candidate fields in the handful of districts Cook Political Report lists as competitive, including several currently held by Democrats. National midterm dynamics, with Democrats ahead on the generic ballot, introduce the main upside risk for gains beyond the map’s baseline, while the Republican structural tilt caps expectations and spreads probability across multiple outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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