Texas's mid-decade congressional redistricting, enacted in August 2025 and upheld for 2026 use after Supreme Court action, consolidated Democratic-leaning voters in several districts and targeted seats held by representatives including Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, Lloyd Doggett, Julie Johnson, and Al Green. This structural shift underpins trader pricing clustered around 10–11 Democratic seats. Offsetting pressures include modest Democratic edges on the generic ballot, a January 2026 special election swing in a Trump-won state Senate district, and fluid Latino voter patterns that have produced unexpected Democratic strength in prior cycles. Primary results, district-level polling trends through fall, and turnout among suburban and Hispanic voters remain the main variables that could widen or narrow the distribution of outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于11 27%
10 19%
12 14%
13 14%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<8
13%
8
9%
9
10%
10
19%
11
27%
12
15%
13
14%
14+
14%
11 27%
10 19%
12 14%
13 14%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
<8
$40 交易量
13%
8
$296 交易量
9%
9
$237 交易量
10%
10
$120 交易量
19%
11
$338 交易量
27%
12
$91 交易量
15%
13
$40 交易量
14%
14+
$40 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Texas's mid-decade congressional redistricting, enacted in August 2025 and upheld for 2026 use after Supreme Court action, consolidated Democratic-leaning voters in several districts and targeted seats held by representatives including Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, Lloyd Doggett, Julie Johnson, and Al Green. This structural shift underpins trader pricing clustered around 10–11 Democratic seats. Offsetting pressures include modest Democratic edges on the generic ballot, a January 2026 special election swing in a Trump-won state Senate district, and fluid Latino voter patterns that have produced unexpected Democratic strength in prior cycles. Primary results, district-level polling trends through fall, and turnout among suburban and Hispanic voters remain the main variables that could widen or narrow the distribution of outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
交易量
$1,201结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Texas's mid-decade congressional redistricting, enacted in August 2025 and upheld for 2026 use after Supreme Court action, consolidated Democratic-leaning voters in several districts and targeted seats held by representatives including Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, Lloyd Doggett, Julie Johnson, and Al Green. This structural shift underpins trader pricing clustered around 10–11 Democratic seats. Offsetting pressures include modest Democratic edges on the generic ballot, a January 2026 special election swing in a Trump-won state Senate district, and fluid Latino voter patterns that have produced unexpected Democratic strength in prior cycles. Primary results, district-level polling trends through fall, and turnout among suburban and Hispanic voters remain the main variables that could widen or narrow the distribution of outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,201结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Texas's mid-decade congressional redistricting, enacted in August 2025 and upheld for 2026 use after Supreme Court action, consolidated Democratic-leaning voters in several districts and targeted seats held by representatives including Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, Lloyd Doggett, Julie Johnson, and Al Green. This structural shift underpins trader pricing clustered around 10–11 Democratic seats. Offsetting pressures include modest Democratic edges on the generic ballot, a January 2026 special election swing in a Trump-won state Senate district, and fluid Latino voter patterns that have produced unexpected Democratic strength in prior cycles. Primary results, district-level polling trends through fall, and turnout among suburban and Hispanic voters remain the main variables that could widen or narrow the distribution of outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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