Recent forecasts from NOAA and Colorado State University highlight a strengthening El Niño as the main factor keeping trader odds tightly clustered across ranges for 2026 Atlantic hurricanes, with only two named storms (Arthur and Bertha) formed so far and zero hurricanes through late July. El Niño typically boosts upper-level wind shear and stabilizes the atmosphere over the Atlantic main development region, reducing intensification potential despite warmer sea surface temperatures. Updated July outlooks now project 3–6 or around 4 hurricanes—well below the 1991–2020 average of seven—while historical analogs from prior moderate El Niño years show wide variability. Peak-season conditions in August–September and any shifts in Pacific sea surface temperatures will determine whether activity stays suppressed or rebounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年大西洋飓风季节将形成多少次飓风？
2026年大西洋飓风季节将形成多少次飓风？
1-3 49%
4-6 40%
7+ 36%
0 10%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
0
10%
1-3
49%
4-6
40%
7+
36%
1-3 49%
4-6 40%
7+ 36%
0 10%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
0
$58 交易量
10%
1-3
$0 交易量
49%
4-6
$0 交易量
40%
7+
$0 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Recent forecasts from NOAA and Colorado State University highlight a strengthening El Niño as the main factor keeping trader odds tightly clustered across ranges for 2026 Atlantic hurricanes, with only two named storms (Arthur and Bertha) formed so far and zero hurricanes through late July. El Niño typically boosts upper-level wind shear and stabilizes the atmosphere over the Atlantic main development region, reducing intensification potential despite warmer sea surface temperatures. Updated July outlooks now project 3–6 or around 4 hurricanes—well below the 1991–2020 average of seven—while historical analogs from prior moderate El Niño years show wide variability. Peak-season conditions in August–September and any shifts in Pacific sea surface temperatures will determine whether activity stays suppressed or rebounds.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
交易量
$58结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.Recent forecasts from NOAA and Colorado State University highlight a strengthening El Niño as the main factor keeping trader odds tightly clustered across ranges for 2026 Atlantic hurricanes, with only two named storms (Arthur and Bertha) formed so far and zero hurricanes through late July. El Niño typically boosts upper-level wind shear and stabilizes the atmosphere over the Atlantic main development region, reducing intensification potential despite warmer sea surface temperatures. Updated July outlooks now project 3–6 or around 4 hurricanes—well below the 1991–2020 average of seven—while historical analogs from prior moderate El Niño years show wide variability. Peak-season conditions in August–September and any shifts in Pacific sea surface temperatures will determine whether activity stays suppressed or rebounds.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
交易量
$58结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and Colorado State University highlight a strengthening El Niño as the main factor keeping trader odds tightly clustered across ranges for 2026 Atlantic hurricanes, with only two named storms (Arthur and Bertha) formed so far and zero hurricanes through late July. El Niño typically boosts upper-level wind shear and stabilizes the atmosphere over the Atlantic main development region, reducing intensification potential despite warmer sea surface temperatures. Updated July outlooks now project 3–6 or around 4 hurricanes—well below the 1991–2020 average of seven—while historical analogs from prior moderate El Niño years show wide variability. Peak-season conditions in August–September and any shifts in Pacific sea surface temperatures will determine whether activity stays suppressed or rebounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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