The open seat in Iowa's 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue a Senate bid, has produced contested primaries on both sides ahead of the June 2 vote and left the November general election outcome uncertain. Republican candidates Charlie McClintock and Joe Mitchell compete to consolidate the district's base in a region that has supported GOP House nominees in recent cycles, while Democratic contenders including state Representative Lindsay James, Kathryn Dolter, and Clint Twedt-Ball seek to capitalize on turnout among independents and suburban voters. Recent candidate forums have highlighted shared priorities such as tariffs, cost-of-living pressures, and agriculture policy, underscoring how primary results and subsequent nominee positioning could quickly shift the narrow trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
49%
民主党
49%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$627 交易量
49%
民主党
$1,113 交易量
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Iowa's 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue a Senate bid, has produced contested primaries on both sides ahead of the June 2 vote and left the November general election outcome uncertain. Republican candidates Charlie McClintock and Joe Mitchell compete to consolidate the district's base in a region that has supported GOP House nominees in recent cycles, while Democratic contenders including state Representative Lindsay James, Kathryn Dolter, and Clint Twedt-Ball seek to capitalize on turnout among independents and suburban voters. Recent candidate forums have highlighted shared priorities such as tariffs, cost-of-living pressures, and agriculture policy, underscoring how primary results and subsequent nominee positioning could quickly shift the narrow trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$1,739结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Iowa's 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue a Senate bid, has produced contested primaries on both sides ahead of the June 2 vote and left the November general election outcome uncertain. Republican candidates Charlie McClintock and Joe Mitchell compete to consolidate the district's base in a region that has supported GOP House nominees in recent cycles, while Democratic contenders including state Representative Lindsay James, Kathryn Dolter, and Clint Twedt-Ball seek to capitalize on turnout among independents and suburban voters. Recent candidate forums have highlighted shared priorities such as tariffs, cost-of-living pressures, and agriculture policy, underscoring how primary results and subsequent nominee positioning could quickly shift the narrow trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,739结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Iowa's 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Ashley Hinson's decision to pursue a Senate bid, has produced contested primaries on both sides ahead of the June 2 vote and left the November general election outcome uncertain. Republican candidates Charlie McClintock and Joe Mitchell compete to consolidate the district's base in a region that has supported GOP House nominees in recent cycles, while Democratic contenders including state Representative Lindsay James, Kathryn Dolter, and Clint Twedt-Ball seek to capitalize on turnout among independents and suburban voters. Recent candidate forums have highlighted shared priorities such as tariffs, cost-of-living pressures, and agriculture policy, underscoring how primary results and subsequent nominee positioning could quickly shift the narrow trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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