IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$348,717 交易量
2026-10-31
8月31日
1%
10月31日
15%
12月31日
22%
$348,717 交易量
8月31日
$52,844 交易量
1%
10月31日
$77,203 交易量
15%
12月31日
$25,347 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
交易量
$348,717结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$348,717结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题