Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and the strength of three-term incumbent Jim Risch anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former Democratic state representative who resigned his seat to run, consolidated much of the non-Republican vote after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July, yet polls and forecasts continue to show Risch ahead by double digits in most surveys. Late developments such as Achilles' improved head-to-head positioning in select August polling have not shifted the broader assessment of structural barriers in this solidly red state. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national anti-Republican wave capable of mobilizing unusually high independent turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 95.9%
民主党 1.8%
托德·阿基里斯（无党派） 1.0%
$32,893 交易量
$32,893 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
96%
民主党
2%
托德·阿基里斯（无党派）
1%
共和党 95.9%
民主党 1.8%
托德·阿基里斯（无党派） 1.0%
$32,893 交易量
$32,893 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$18,332 交易量
96%
民主党
$14,387 交易量
2%
托德·阿基里斯（无党派）
$175 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and the strength of three-term incumbent Jim Risch anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former Democratic state representative who resigned his seat to run, consolidated much of the non-Republican vote after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July, yet polls and forecasts continue to show Risch ahead by double digits in most surveys. Late developments such as Achilles' improved head-to-head positioning in select August polling have not shifted the broader assessment of structural barriers in this solidly red state. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national anti-Republican wave capable of mobilizing unusually high independent turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$32,893结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and the strength of three-term incumbent Jim Risch anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former Democratic state representative who resigned his seat to run, consolidated much of the non-Republican vote after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July, yet polls and forecasts continue to show Risch ahead by double digits in most surveys. Late developments such as Achilles' improved head-to-head positioning in select August polling have not shifted the broader assessment of structural barriers in this solidly red state. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national anti-Republican wave capable of mobilizing unusually high independent turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$32,893结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETIdaho's reliably Republican electorate and the strength of three-term incumbent Jim Risch anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 3, 2026 Senate contest. Risch secured his party's nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former Democratic state representative who resigned his seat to run, consolidated much of the non-Republican vote after Democrat David Roth withdrew in late July, yet polls and forecasts continue to show Risch ahead by double digits in most surveys. Late developments such as Achilles' improved head-to-head positioning in select August polling have not shifted the broader assessment of structural barriers in this solidly red state. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national anti-Republican wave capable of mobilizing unusually high independent turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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