Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's dominant fundraising—over $3.7 million cash on hand—and endorsements including from President Trump have solidified trader consensus at 91% for a GOP victory in Idaho's Senate race, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican hold on the seat since 1981 and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With primaries four days away on May 19, Risch faces token primary challengers amid minimal Democratic fundraising under $10,000 across candidates Nickolas Bonds, Brad Moore, and David Roth; independent Todd Achilles trails Risch 34%-48% in the latest March poll. Scenarios like a primary upset, Risch health issues at age 83, or national midterm backlash could challenge this, though traders see slim odds amid stable polling and weak opposition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,389 交易量
$15,389 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
$15,389 交易量
$15,389 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,646 交易量
91%
民主党
$4,743 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's dominant fundraising—over $3.7 million cash on hand—and endorsements including from President Trump have solidified trader consensus at 91% for a GOP victory in Idaho's Senate race, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican hold on the seat since 1981 and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With primaries four days away on May 19, Risch faces token primary challengers amid minimal Democratic fundraising under $10,000 across candidates Nickolas Bonds, Brad Moore, and David Roth; independent Todd Achilles trails Risch 34%-48% in the latest March poll. Scenarios like a primary upset, Risch health issues at age 83, or national midterm backlash could challenge this, though traders see slim odds amid stable polling and weak opposition.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$15,389结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's dominant fundraising—over $3.7 million cash on hand—and endorsements including from President Trump have solidified trader consensus at 91% for a GOP victory in Idaho's Senate race, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican hold on the seat since 1981 and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With primaries four days away on May 19, Risch faces token primary challengers amid minimal Democratic fundraising under $10,000 across candidates Nickolas Bonds, Brad Moore, and David Roth; independent Todd Achilles trails Risch 34%-48% in the latest March poll. Scenarios like a primary upset, Risch health issues at age 83, or national midterm backlash could challenge this, though traders see slim odds amid stable polling and weak opposition.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$15,389结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Jim Risch's dominant fundraising—over $3.7 million cash on hand—and endorsements including from President Trump have solidified trader consensus at 91% for a GOP victory in Idaho's Senate race, reflecting the state's unbroken Republican hold on the seat since 1981 and consistent "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. With primaries four days away on May 19, Risch faces token primary challengers amid minimal Democratic fundraising under $10,000 across candidates Nickolas Bonds, Brad Moore, and David Roth; independent Todd Achilles trails Risch 34%-48% in the latest March poll. Scenarios like a primary upset, Risch health issues at age 83, or national midterm backlash could challenge this, though traders see slim odds amid stable polling and weak opposition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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