Pakistan's former prime minister Imran Khan has remained incarcerated in Adiala Jail since his August 2023 arrest, serving multiple convictions including a 14-year corruption sentence and additional terms handed down in late 2025. Recent Supreme Court orders addressed health concerns such as reported vision loss by directing limited medical evaluations, yet authorities returned him to prison after declaring him fit, prompting PTI contempt petitions and ongoing appeals. Government statements reject claims of mistreatment or politically motivated cases, while PTI protests scheduled for late September focus on access and hearings rather than indicating near-term release. With appeals and bail applications progressing slowly amid institutional resistance, traders assign a high implied probability against release before the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
9% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
9% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pakistan's former prime minister Imran Khan has remained incarcerated in Adiala Jail since his August 2023 arrest, serving multiple convictions including a 14-year corruption sentence and additional terms handed down in late 2025. Recent Supreme Court orders addressed health concerns such as reported vision loss by directing limited medical evaluations, yet authorities returned him to prison after declaring him fit, prompting PTI contempt petitions and ongoing appeals. Government statements reject claims of mistreatment or politically motivated cases, while PTI protests scheduled for late September focus on access and hearings rather than indicating near-term release. With appeals and bail applications progressing slowly amid institutional resistance, traders assign a high implied probability against release before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$2,756结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pakistan's former prime minister Imran Khan has remained incarcerated in Adiala Jail since his August 2023 arrest, serving multiple convictions including a 14-year corruption sentence and additional terms handed down in late 2025. Recent Supreme Court orders addressed health concerns such as reported vision loss by directing limited medical evaluations, yet authorities returned him to prison after declaring him fit, prompting PTI contempt petitions and ongoing appeals. Government statements reject claims of mistreatment or politically motivated cases, while PTI protests scheduled for late September focus on access and hearings rather than indicating near-term release. With appeals and bail applications progressing slowly amid institutional resistance, traders assign a high implied probability against release before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,756结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ETPakistan's former prime minister Imran Khan has remained incarcerated in Adiala Jail since his August 2023 arrest, serving multiple convictions including a 14-year corruption sentence and additional terms handed down in late 2025. Recent Supreme Court orders addressed health concerns such as reported vision loss by directing limited medical evaluations, yet authorities returned him to prison after declaring him fit, prompting PTI contempt petitions and ongoing appeals. Government statements reject claims of mistreatment or politically motivated cases, while PTI protests scheduled for late September focus on access and hearings rather than indicating near-term release. With appeals and bail applications progressing slowly amid institutional resistance, traders assign a high implied probability against release before the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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